Tampa Bay Rays vs Texas Rangers Prediction 9/5/2026 Today’s MLB Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Aug 30, 2026; St. Petersburg, Florida, USA; Tampa Bay Rays third baseman Junior Caminero (13) reacts after he gets an out at third base on a steal against the San Diego Padres at Tropicana Field. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers
Team Records
84-57
70-72
Spread
-1.5 158
+1.5 -193
Moneyline
-110
-110
Total
Over 7 (-102)
Under 7 (-118)
Where
Globe Life Field, Arlington, Texas
When
Saturday, September 5, 2026
Time
07:05 PM EDT
TV
MLB.TV
The Tampa Bay Rays and the Texas Rangers meet Saturday in MLB action from Globe Life Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Tampa Bay Rays will send out Drew Rasmussen for the start here and Rasmussen is 14-5 with a 2.95 ERA and 149 strikeouts this season. Jacob deGrom will start for the Rangers and is 10-9 with a 4.00 ERA and 167 strikeouts this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Recap
The Tampa Bay Rays come into this game looking to add on to their 7-6 win over the Rangers last time out to sit at 84-57 this season. After this series, the Rays will head on the road for a series against the Atlanta Braves.
Rays Snap Two-Game Slide
Yandy Diaz has 160 hits with 23 doubles, a triple, 21 home runs and 74 RBIs while Chandler Simpson has 153 hits with 6 triples and 31 RBIs. Nick Fortes has 70 hits with 15 doubles, 4 home runs and 30 RBIs and Jonathan Aranda has 141 hits with 21 doubles, 17 homers and 80 RBIs. Junior Caminero’s also added 149 hits with 20 doubles, 37 home runs and 88 RBIs.
Texas Rangers Recap
The Texas Rangers will look to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Rays on Friday to sit at 70-72 this season. After this series, the Rangers will head on the road for a series against the Seattle Mariners.
Rangers Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight
Brandon Nimmo has 138 hits with 31 doubles, 4 triples, 14 home runs and 58 RBIs while Jake Burger has 113 hits with 21 doubles, 23 home runs and 78 RBIs. Corey Seager has 65 hits with 13 doubles, 13 home runs and 35 RBIs. Evan Carter also has 65 hits with 13 doubles, 8 home runs and 33 RBIs while Josh Jung has 104 hits with 23 doubles, 9 home runs and 35 RBIs as well on the year.
Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers Betting Trends: September 5, 2026
Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob deGrom Record this season: 10-9 ERA: 4.00
Home Record: 7-2
Last 5 against Rays: 0-1
Why the Texas Rangers will win
The Rangers have won each of their last 11 games following a home loss.
The Rays have lost 10 of their last 11 games at Globe Life Field.
The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last nine games against the Rays following a loss.
The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against the Rangers following a win.
The Rangers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against the Rays at Globe Life Field.
Probable Starting Pitcher: Drew Rasmussen Record this season: 14-5 ERA: 2.95
Road Record: 6-2
Last 5 against Rangers: 1-1
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
The Rays have won each of their last seven games against AL West opponents following a win.
The Rangers have lost five of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
The Rays have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL West opponents.
The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
Seven of the Rangers’ last eight games against AL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Six of the Rays’ last seven road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Rays’ last seven Saturday games against AL opponents.
There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the last six games between the Rays and Rangers.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
Ezequiel Duran has hit a home run in two of the Rangers’ last three games.
Jacob deGrom has recorded a win in each of his last three home appearances.
Jacob deGrom has recorded six or more strikeouts in 18 of his last 20 home appearances.
Ezequiel Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers’ last six games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
Richie Palacios has hit a home run in two of the Rays’ last three games.
Drew Rasmussen has recorded a win in each of his last seven appearances against AL opponents.
Liam Hicks has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances after playing the previous day.
Yandy Diaz ranks 3rd in the league in Hits (165) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Rangers rank 27th in the league for steals this season (66).
The Rangers rank 26th in the league for runs scored this season (584).
The Rays rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.260).
The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (983).
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers Prediction
I’m on the under in this game. I think this is a low-scoring duel between two of the better options in their respective rotations. With Shane McClanahan on the shelf right now, it feels like Rasmussen could be Tampa’s ace and deGrom is still the Rangers’ ace level starter. I think this ends up being a duel, so give me the under here.
