Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 8/10/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners Prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 10th at the T-Mobile Park in the third game of this series, with the Mariners having the 2-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Seattle Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners have a 65-53 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the AL West. The Mariners have a 36-25 home record and are 63-49 in over/under. They are coming off a 7-4 home victory over the Rays, and are 8-1 in their last 9 games. Over is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games and they are playing the Orioles and the Mets next.

The Mariners have a .243 batting average this season, .319 OBP and .411 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners in hits with 123, while JP Crawford is the team’s best hitter with a .264 batting average. Cal Raleigh leads the team both in RBI with 96, and in home runs with 44.

Bryan Woo (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has a 9-6 record, 3.02 ERA and 0.94 WHIP.

Tampa Bay Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays have a 57-61 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the AL East. The Rays have a 25-31 road record and are 46-65 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-7 road defeat by the Mariners, and are 3-7 in their last 10 games. Under is 5-2-1 in their last 8 games and are playing the Giants and the Athletics next.

The Rays have a .250 batting average this season, .314 OBP and .399 slugging percentage. Tampa’s pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Rays with 122 hits, while Jonathan Aranda is the team’s best hitter with .316 batting average. Junior Caminero leads the team in RBI, with 80 and in home runs, with 32.

Adrian Houser (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays, and he has a 6-3 record, 2.54 ERA and 1.29 WHIP.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Mariners have won each of their last eight home games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Rays have lost 16 of their last 17 games against the Mariners following a road loss.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against American League opponents.
• The Mariners have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games.
• The Rays have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games against AL West opponents.
• The Mariners have led after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Mariners have lost each of their last five Sunday games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have won four of their last five day games against AL West opponents.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Sunday home games against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have covered the run line each of their last six Sunday games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Mariners’ last five games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Rays’ last eight day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 13 of the Mariners’ last 14 day games at T-Mobile Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last six day games against AL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mariners rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (156).
• The Mariners rank 29th in the league for triples this season (6).
• The Rays rank 1st in the league for steals this season (149).
• The Rays rank 26th in the league for doubles this season (173).

Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

The Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 head-to-head meetings against the Rays, and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Seattle. Over is 6-3-2 in their last 11 meetings.

In this Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -190 home favorites. Seattle is rightfully favored, as they have a better overall record, and have been strong at home, while Tampa is below average on the road. Woo has been the best pitcher for the Mariners this season, and has been even stronger at home, with a 2.17 ERA. On the flip side, Houser has torched in his first start as a Ray, and he has been weaker on the road, and in poor form lately. Seattle is one of the hottest teams in the league right now, and I don’t see them losing at home with Woo on the mound.