Tampa Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB Picks 9/11/24

In this article we will formulate a Tampa Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 11th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

• The Rays’ recent form and recent player performance 
• The Phillies’ recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Tampa Bay
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia 
• Recent betting trends in games played between Tampa Bay and Philadelphia 
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Tampa Bay and Philadelphia 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 71-74 this year and they have split their last four games. Tampa Bay has lost the first two games in this series and they allowed nine runs on Tuesday. Prior to this series, the Rays won two out of three against the Orioles, split four games with the Twins, and lost two out of three against the Padres. Tampa Bay is 4-6 in their last ten games and they are fourth in the AL East. 

The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Rays offense has scored 559 runs with a .231 batting average and a .306 on-base percentage. Yandy Diaz is batting .280 with 14 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Rays this season. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 87-58 this season and they have split their last four games. Philadelphia has won the first two games in this series by scores of 2-1 and 9-4. Prior to this series, the Phillies split four games with the Marlins, won both games against the Blue Jays, and won three out of four against the Braves. Philadelphia is 8-2 in their last ten games and they are first in the NL East. 

The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.72 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 711 runs with a .260 batting average and a .328 on-base percentage. Bryce Harper is batting .291 with 26 home runs and 79 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Shane Baz, who is 2-3 with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 55.0 innings pitched this year. Baz has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Zack Wheeler, who is 14-6 with a 2.59 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP over 173.2 innings pitched this season. Wheeler has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Rays

• The Phillies have won each of their last six night games against American League opponents.
• The Rays have lost eight of their last nine games against the Phillies following a loss.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last five night games against AL East opponents following a home win.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against the Phillies following a road loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Rays’ last seven night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Phillies’ last five home games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in each of the Phillies’ last four games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies’ last four games against AL opponents.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances at Citizens Bank Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Schwarber has scored at least one run in each of his eight previous home appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in 17 of his last 18 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one total base in 20 of his last 21 home appearances against AL East opponents.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in 20 of his last 21 home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded eight strikeouts in each of his last three appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Alec Bohm has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Phillies as home favorites against AL opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in two of the Rays’ last three games against the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded an RBI in three of the Rays’ last four games against the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
• Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in five of his last six road appearances against NL East opponents.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Josh Lowe has recorded at least one total base in each of the Rays’ last 11 night games.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 

The Phillies have picked up the first two wins in this series and they are leading the NL East by eight games over the Braves and Mets. Philadelphia is 49-25 at home, while Tampa Bay is 34-36 on the road. I know the Rays have lost the first two here, but both games have been very competitive and they have pitched very well in the last two series. Tampa Bay is going with Baz, who has been very good in his last three starts. Philly is starting Wheeler, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in seven straight starts and 12 of his last 13. Both starting pitchers have been very solid recently, but Wheeler has been one of the best in baseball. Take the Phillies -1.5 once again here. 

David Racey's Pick: Phillies -1.5