New York Yankees (58-40) vs Tampa Bay Rays (48-48)
Game Info: Sunday, July 21, 2024 at 1:35 pm (Yankee Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: New York Yankees -152 / Tampa Bay Rays +127 — Over/Under:
The Tampa Bay Rays and the New York Yankees meet Sunday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees prediction. This will be the third installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
The Tampa Bay Rays recent form and player performance
The New York Yankees recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Tampa Bay Rays
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Yankees
Recent betting trends in games played between the Rays and Yankees
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Rays vs Yankees game
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
Last weekend the Rays took on the Cleveland Guardians. Tampa Bay lost 4-2 in their Saturday matchup but otherwise won 2-0 in the other pair for a series win. After a 6-1 loss to the Yankees Friday, in game two the Rays rolled to a shutout win 9-1.
In the starter slot for Sunday’s finale the Rays will go with Shane Baz. This year over his two starts Baz is 0-1 with a 5.23 ERA. In 11 career starts Baz is 3-3 with a 4.26 ERA.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
Over on the Yankees’ side, they played the Baltimore Orioles last weekend. New York was able to win the first two installments of that set 4-1 and 6-1 but blew the sweep with a Sunday loss 6-5. On Saturday the Yankees were out-hit 11-5 in the defeat.
It’ll be Marcus Stroman in the starter role for the Yankees on Saturday. This year Stroman is 7-4 with a 3.51 ERA in 19 starts. Stroman is 84-80 with a 3.64 ERA in 250 career games (242 starts).
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Yankees’ last nine day games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Rays’ last five games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last five games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last four games as favorites.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances with the Yankees as favorites against AL opponents.
- Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in 20 of his last 23 home appearances against AL opponents.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven appearances against AL opponents at Yankee Stadium.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Yankees as favorites against AL opponents.
- Marcus Stroman has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances with the Yankees as favorites against AL opponents.
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in seven of his last 16 appearances with the Yankees as home favorites against AL opponents.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Amed Rosario has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine road appearances against the Yankees.
- Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Randy Arozarena has recorded a Double in each of the Rays’ last four road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 18 appearances with the Rays as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Yandy Diaz has scored at least one run in four of his last five appearances against the Yankees.
- Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Yankees at Yankee Stadium.
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances with the Rays as underdogs against AL opponents.
Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction
I’ll lean toward the Yankees, but I’m probably staying away. Stroman has been pretty shaky lately. He’s given up nine earned runs in 13.2 innings over his last three starts, going 0-1 in that time. As for Baz, he’s given up six earned in 10.1 innings total this year.
On Saturday the Yankees were wrecked on the mound in most innings. There wasn’t much going on offensively either. New York needs a big bounce-back effort Sunday, and I don’t know if they’ll get it.