| MATCHUP | Tampa Bay Rays | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 96-62 | 91-67 |
| Spread | +1.5 -186 | -1.5 153 |
| Moneyline | +129 | -156 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (-115) | Under 6.5 (-104) |
| Where | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York | |
| When | Thursday, September 24, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:05 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
New York Yankees Preview
The New York Yankees have a 91-67 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the AL East. They have a 44-33 home record and are coming off a 9-2 home win against the Rays. They will face the Orioles next.
The New York Yankees have a .234 batting average this season, .311 OBP and .410 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 3.21 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Cody Bellinger is the team’s best hitter with a .268 batting average. Ben Rice leads the team in RBI with 97, adding a team-high 41 home runs.
Cam Schlittler (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees, and he has a 14-6 record, 1.94 ERA and 0.91 WHIP.
Tampa Bay Rays Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays have a 96-62 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the AL East. They have a 41-36 away record and are coming off a 2-9 road loss against the Yankees. They will face the Phillies next.
The Tampa Bay Rays have a .258 batting average this season, .326 OBP and .401 Slugging percentage. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. Chandler Simpson is the team’s best hitter with a .309 batting average. Junior Caminero leads the team in RBI with 97, adding a team-high 41 home runs.
Ian Seymour (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays, and he has a 9-7 record, 4.38 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.
Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees Betting Trends: September 24, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Cam Schlittler Record this season: 14-6 ERA: 1.94
- Home Record: 6-4
- Last 5 against Rays: 1-2
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won eight of their last nine night games after playing the previous day.
- The Rays have lost 10 of their last 12 road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games after playing the previous day.
- The Yankees have won the first inning in three of their last four night games at Yankee Stadium.
- The Yankees have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven night games against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight home night games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Ian Seymour Record this season: 9-7 ERA: 4.38
- Road Record: 5-2
- Last 5 against Yankees: 2-0
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won each of their last six games as underdogs following a road loss.
- The Yankees have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites against AL opponents following a home win.
- The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last nine night games at Yankee Stadium following a road loss.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against the Rays following a home win.
- The Rays have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road night games.
- The Rays have led after 5 innings in five of their last six road night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Yankees’ last eight night games against AL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Rays’ last seven night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the last seven night games between the Rays and Yankees.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in four of the Rays’ last five road games.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Ben Rice has hit at least one home run in each of his last two home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Cam Schlittler has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances.
- Cam Schlittler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with the Yankees as favorites against AL opponents.
- George Lombard Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against AL opponents.
- Cam Schlittler ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (1.94) this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Junior Caminero has hit a home run in four of the Rays’ last five Thursday night games as underdogs.
- Ian Seymour has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
- Chandler Simpson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Rays as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Chandler Simpson ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (46) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (221).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.21).
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.258).
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (1108).
Rays vs Yankees Prediction
The Yankees are 5-3 in their last 8 meetings against the Rays and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in New York.
In this Rays vs Yankees Prediction, the Yankees are coming as -150 home favorites. I like the Yankees in this one in a bargain price. They have a huge pitching edge as Cam Schlittler goes up against Ian Seymour, with Schlittler having given up one run or less in 10 of his last 11 starts, while Seymour having given up 3+ runs in six of his last seven games played. The Yankees average 8.8 runs against lefties in their last 10 games and they have the second-best bullpen ERA in baseball. Take the Yankees to win.