| MATCHUP | Tampa Bay Rays | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 18-11 | 15-16 |
| Spread | -1.5 167 | +1.5 -205 |
| Moneyline | +100 | -120 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (-112) | Under 6.5 (-108) |
| Where | Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio | |
| When | Wednesday, April 29, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Guardians Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, April 29th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cleveland Guardians Preview
The Cleveland Guardians have a 15-16 record this season and are sitting in the second place of the AL Central. They have a 8-7 home record and are coming off a 0-1 home loss against the Rays. Their previous three games were a 2-3 home loss against the Rays, a 2-4 road loss and a 3-5 road loss against the Blue Jays.
The Guardians have a .227 batting average this season, .314 OBP and .373 Slugging percentage. Cleveland’s pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Angel Martinez is the team’s best hitter with a .278 batting average. Brayan Rocchio leads the team in RBI with 17, and Jose Ramirez adds a team‑high 6 home runs.
Gavin Williams (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Guardians, and he has a 4-1 record, 3.28 ERA and 1.09 WHIP.
Tampa Bay Rays Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays have a 18-11 record this season and are sitting in the second place of the AL East. They have a 10-7 away record and are coming off a 1-0 road win against the Guardians. Their previous three games were a 3-2 road win against the Guardians, a 4-2 home win and a 6-1 home win against the Twins.
The Rays have a .253 batting average this season, .330 OBP and .385 Slugging percentage. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Yandy Diaz is the team’s best hitter with a .324 batting average. Jonathan Aranda leads the team in RBI with 25, and Junior Caminero adds a team‑high 8 home runs.
Drew Rasmussen (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays, and he has a 2-0 record, 2.45 ERA and 0.74 WHIP.
Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends: April 29, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Gavin Williams Record this season: 4-1 ERA: 3.28
- Home Record: 1-0
- Last 5 against Rays: 1-1
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Guardians have won eight of their last nine games following a home loss.
- The Rays have lost four of their last five day games against the Guardians following a win.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last five day games against the Rays following a loss.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line each of their last six Wednesday day games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road day games.
- The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Drew Rasmussen Record this season: 2-0 ERA: 2.45
- Road Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Guardians: 0-0
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won each of their last 13 games against American League opponents.
- The Guardians have lost four of their last five games as home favorites.
- The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last 13 games against American League opponents.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line each of their last six home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Guardians’ last 11 games as favorites against the Rays have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Rays’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last six day games between the Rays and Guardians.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Rays’ last eight games at Progressive Field.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Jose Ramirez has hit at least one home run in 10 of the Guardians’ last 30 games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
- Jose Ramirez ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (11) this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Jake Fraley has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances against the Guardians after playing the previous day.
- Drew Rasmussen has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six Wednesday appearances.
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 10 games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Chandler Simpson ranks T4th in the league in Steals (10) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Guardians rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (285).
- The Guardians rank T26th in the league for triples this season (1).
- The Rays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (209).
- The Rays rank T3rd in the league for triples this season (5).
Rays vs Guardians Prediction
The Guardians are 7-4 in their last 11 meetings against the Rays and are 4-3 in their last 7 meetings in Cleveland. Under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 meetings.
In this Rays vs Guardians Prediction, the Guardians are coming as -120 home favorites. Rays won yesterday in a game that had only one total run and today’s starting pitchers have both been excellent, with a combined 5.73 ERA and extremely low WHIP. They have also fared extremely well in their start against the opposing team last season and both teams are a perfect 7-0 to the under in their last 7 games combined. Keep it simple and take the under 7 in this one.