| MATCHUP | Tampa Bay Rays | Cincinnati Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 53-51 | 54-50 |
| Where | Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio | |
| When | Saturday, July 26, 2025 | |
| Time | 06:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
The Tampa Bay Rays and Cincinnati Reds meet Saturday in MLB action at Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction. This article will include a Tampa Bay Rays vs Cincinnati Reds Pick.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 53-51 on the year and play the Yankees, Dodgers, and Angels next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .257 on the season, have a .322 OBP, and a .404 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 113 hits and 60 RBI, while Jonathan Aranda and Junior Caminero have combined for 208 hits and 119 RBI.
Ryan Pepiot gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 6-8 with a 3.59 ERA and 118 strikeouts this season. This will be Pepiot’s first career game against the Cincinnati Reds.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 54-50 on the year and play the Dodgers, Braves, and Cubs next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting .248 on the season, have a .321 OBP, and a .397 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 112 hits and 65 RBI while TJ Friedl and Spencer Steer have combined for 186 hits and 76 RBI.
Andrew Abbott gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 8-1 with a 2.13 ERA and 88 strikeouts this season. This will be Abbott’s second career game against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Rays have lost seven of their last eight road games.
- The Reds have won seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last five games following a win.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last three games as favorites against AL East opponents.
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won eight of their last nine road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have lost five of their last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Rays have covered the run line in eight of their last nine road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in 23 of their last 29 games as favorites against American League opponents.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Tyler Stephenson has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded two or more hits in each of the Reds’ last six home games against AL East opponents.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Taylor Walls has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Rays as underdogs.
- Josh Lowe has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
Tampa Bay Rays vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
The Rays are having a rough week and while Pepiot has been sharp, the Rays have lost his last three starts due to a lack of run support. The Reds are doing just enough winning to be worth a look most nights, and Abbott has a 2.13 ERA and 1.09 WHIP on the season. In 50 home innings, Abbott has a 1.98 ERA and .245 allowed batting average. Abbott has allowed nine runs in his last 29 innings. Hard to bet against the Reds with their all-star on the bump. Give me the home team.