Tampa Bay (72-73) vs Chicago (56-90)
September 11, 2025 at 02:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Chicago +1.5 — Over/Under: +8
The Tampa Bay Rays and Chicago White Sox meet Thursday in MLB action at Rate Field. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago White Sox Prediction. This article will include a Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago White Sox Pick.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 72-73 on the year and play the Cubs, Blue Jays, and Red Sox next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .252 on the season, have a .314 OBP, and a .405 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 157 hits and 78 RBI, while Junior Caminero and Brandon Lowe have combined for 263 hits and 179 RBI.
Ian Seymour gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 3-1 with a 2.89 ERA and 47 strikeouts this season. This will be Seymour’s second career game against the Chicago White Sox.
Chicago White Sox Betting Preview
The Chicago White Sox are 56-90 on the year and play the Guardians, Orioles, and Padres next. The Chicago White Sox are batting .236 on the season, have a .305 OBP, and a .379 slugging percentage. The Chicago White Sox pitching staff has a 4.25 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP. Lenyn Sosa leads the Chicago White Sox with 124 hits and 67 RBI while Miguel Vargas and Chase Meidroth have combined for 208 hits and 74 RBI.
Shane Smith gets the ball for the Chicago White Sox, and he is 5-7 with a 3.95 ERA and 118 strikeouts this season. This will be Smith’s first career game against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Tampa Bay Rays @ the Chicago White Sox Betting Trends: September 11, 2025
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Shane Smith Record this season: 5-7 ERA: 3.95
- Home Record: 2-3
- Last 5 against Rays: –
Why the Chicago White Sox will win
- The White Sox have won each of their last five games as underdogs against the Rays following a home win.
- The Rays have lost each of their last four games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The White Sox have covered the run line each of their last seven games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games against American League opponents.
- The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games at Rate Field against opponents that held a losing record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Ian Seymour Record this season: 3-1 ERA: 2.89
- Road Record: 3-0
- Last 5 against White Sox: 0-0
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The White Sox have lost 10 of their last 11 games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The road team has won 12 of the White Sox’s last 15 games.
- The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last six Thursday day road games against AL Central opponents.
- The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four home games against AL East opponents following a home win.
- The White Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The White Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Twelve of the White Sox’s last 13 day games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Rays’ last three road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the White Sox’s last eight games as underdogs.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Rays’ last six day games.
Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts
- Andrew Benintendi has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances after playing the previous day.
- Andrew Benintendi has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances at Rate Field.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in five of the Rays’ last nine games as road favorites.
- Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight Thursday appearances.
- Taylor Walls has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Rays as favorites against AL opponents.
- Junior Caminero ranks 6th in the league in Home Runs (42) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The White Sox rank 27th in the league for triples this season (10).
- The White Sox rank 27th in the league for batting average this season (.236).
- The Rays rank T3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (415).
- The Rays rank 27th in the league for walks this season (416).
Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago White Sox Prediction
Seymour has been strong with his 2.89 ERA and 1.10 WHIP this season, and he has a 1.82 ERA and .148 allowed batting average in 24.2 road innings. The Rays should be favored. However, the Rays are having a rough week, and it’s hard to find confidence to come back to them. The White Sox keep cashing tickets over the last two weeks and as long as it continues, you keep taking shots in the dark. Smith is an all-star, and he has a 3.26 ERA and .183 allowed batting average in 60.2 home innings. I’ll keep backing the White Sox lately. What’s gotten into me?