Boston Red Sox (32-36) vs Tampa Bay Rays (36-30)
Game Info: Tuesday, June 10, 2025 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -105 / Tampa Bay Rays -115 — Over/Under: 9.5
The Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox meet Tuesday in MLB action at Fenway Park. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction. This article will include a Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Pick.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 36-30 on the year and play the Mets, Orioles, and Tigers next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .247 on the season, have a .313 OBP, and a .393 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitching staff has a 3.53 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. Jonathan Aranda leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 64 hits and 36 RBI, while Yandy Diaz and Junior Caminero have combined for 124 hits and 77 RBI.
Ryan Pepiot gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 3-5 with a 3.20 ERA and 64 strikeouts this season. Pepiot is 0-2 with a 4.95 ERA and 28 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 32-36 on the year and play the Yankees, Mariners, and Giants next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .255 on the season, have a .329 OBP, and a .422 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 4.16 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 79 hits and 37 RBI, while Rafael Devers and Alex Bregman have combined for 130 hits and 92 RBI.
Lucas Giolito gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 1-1 with a 6.42 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. Giolito is 2-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 54 strikeouts in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Rays have lost five of their last six games as favorites against American League opponents following a road win.
- The underdogs have won 10 of the last 13 games between the Rays and Red Sox.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs after going to extra innings.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games against AL East opponents following a road win.
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won each of their last 10 games as road favorites against the Red Sox following a win.
- The Red Sox have lost five of their last six home games.
- The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as road favorites against the Red Sox following a win.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 home games against the Rays following a home loss.
- The Rays have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight home games.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four home games.
- Abraham Toro has recorded an RBI in each of the Red Sox’s last four games against AL East opponents at Fenway Park.
- Lucas Giolito has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 home appearances against AL East opponents.
- Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of his last five home appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.
- Abraham Toro has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Abraham Toro has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight home appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Rafael Devers ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.409) this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Josh Lowe has hit a home run in two of the Rays’ last three games as road favorites against the Red Sox.
- Josh Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Rays’ last six games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
- Danny Jansen has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances with his team as a road favorite against the Red Sox.
- Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 11 games as favorites against AL opponents.
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Jonathan Aranda ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.323) this season.
Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
The Rays continue to pile up the wins and are a solid team to back because the public doesn’t inflate their lines much. Pepiot has been strong lately as well, allowing 29 hits and 11 runs in his last 42 innings. In 23 road innings, Pepiot has a 2.35 ERA and a .198 allowed batting average. The Red Sox are one of the more disappointing teams in baseball, and Giolito has been a wreck through 33.2 innings, allowing 44 hits and 24 runs. Giolito just allowed eight hits and seven runs in 1.2 innings to the Angels. In 16.1 home innings, Giolito has a 10.47 ERA and .438 allowed batting average. No, thank you. Give me the Rays.