Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB Picks 9/8/24

In this article we will formulate a Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 8th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

• The Rays recent form and recent player performance 
• The Orioles recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Tampa Bay
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Baltimore
• Recent betting trends in games played between Tampa Bay and Baltimore
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Tampa Bay and Baltimore

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 70-72 this year and they have lost two of their last three games. Tampa Bay lost the first game in this series, but they won game two by a score of 7-1. Prior to this series, the Rays split four games with the Twins, lost two out of three against the Padres, and lost two out of three against the Mariners. Tampa Bay is 4-6 in their last 10 games and they are fourth in the AL East. 

The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Rays offense has scored 552 runs with a .231 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Yandy Diaz is batting .279 with 14 home runs and 64 RBI’s for the Rays this season. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 82-61 this season and they have won four of their last six games. Baltimore won the first game in this series by a score of 2-0, but only scored one run in the game two loss. Prior to this series, the Orioles won two out of three against the White Sox, won two out of three against the Rockies, and lost two out of three against the Dodgers. Baltimore is 5-5 in their last 10 games and they are second in the AL East. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 710 runs with a .251 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .279 with 36 home runs and 85 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Zack Littell, who is 5-9 with a 4.04 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 133.2 innings pitched this year. Littell has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Corbin Burnes, who is 13-7 with a 3.19 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 169.1 innings pitched this season. Burnes has allowed two total earned runs in his last two starts (10.0 IP), but really struggled in the two starts before that. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Rays

• The Rays have lost each of their last five day games following a win.
• The Orioles have won each of their last four games against the Rays following a loss.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Rays.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against the Orioles following a win.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Orioles’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Ten of the Rays’ last 12 road games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four day games between the Rays and Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last seven Sunday games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Corbin Burnes has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Anthony Santander has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last eight day games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in three of the Orioles’ last four home games against AL East opponents.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Orioles’ last six Sunday day games as favorites.
• Anthony Santander has recorded at least one Single in nine of the Orioles’ last 10 day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Anthony Santander has recorded at least one total base in each of the Orioles’ last eight day games against AL opponents that held a losing record.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Rays’ last four games against the Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
• Josh Lowe has recorded a Single in six of his last seven road appearances against AL East opponents.
• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances with the Rays as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Jose Siri has recorded a hit in each of his last seven road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in six of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 

Baltimore comes into this game after only scoring three runs in the first two games of this series, and they will need to find more offense if they want to win the series here. The Orioles are 42-32 at home, while the Rays are 33-34 on the road this year. Tampa Bay’s offense is one of the lowest scoring in the MLB, but they did erupt for seven runs on Saturday. Both of these pitchers have been solid recently and I think runs are going to be at a premium, so I am taking the under in this game. 

David Racey's Pick: Under 7.5