| MATCHUP | Tampa Bay Rays | Baltimore Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 34-17 | 24-30 |
| Spread | -1.5 143 | +1.5 -173 |
| Moneyline | -115 | -105 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-119) | Under 8.5 (-101) |
| Where | Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland | |
| When | Tuesday, May 26, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:35 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Baltimore Orioles Preview
The Baltimore Orioles have a 24-30 record this season and are sitting in the fourth place of the AL East. They have a 15-13 home record and are coming off a 9-7 home win against the Rays. They will face the Blue Jays and the Red Sox next.
The Orioles have a .233 batting average this season, .315 OBP and .386 Slugging percentage. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 4.80 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. Taylor Ward is the team’s best hitter with a .254 batting average. Pete Alonso leads the team in RBI with 33, while Gunnar Henderson adds a team-high 11 home runs.
Shane Baz (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles, and he has a 1-5 record, 4.87 ERA and 1.45 WHIP.
Tampa Bay Rays Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays have a 34-17 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the AL East. They have a 15-12 away record and are coming off a 7-9 road defeat against the Orioles. They will face the Angels and the Tigers next.
The Rays have a .260 batting average this season, .334 OBP and .389 Slugging percentage. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a 3.50 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. Yandy Diaz is the team’s best hitter with a .314 batting average. Jonathan Aranda leads the team in RBI with 40, while Junior Caminero adds a team-high 13 home runs.
Griffin Jax (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays, and he has a 1-2 record, 3.54 ERA and 1.36 WHIP.
Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends: May 26, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Shane Baz Record this season: 1-5 ERA: 4.87
- Home Record: 1-2
- Last 5 against Rays: 0-0
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The underdogs have won eight of the Rays’ last nine games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- The Rays have lost each of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents following a loss.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the Rays’ last nine games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- The Orioles have led after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against the Rays at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Griffin Jax Record this season: 1-2 ERA: 3.54
- Road Record: 1-2
- Last 5 against Orioles: 1-0
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Orioles have lost each of their last seven games against the Rays following a win.
- The Rays have won 16 of their last 18 night games against American League opponents.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against the Rays following a win.
- The Rays have covered the run line in 11 of their last 13 night games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Orioles have lost the first inning in four of their last five night games against American League opponents.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Rays’ last nine games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Orioles’ last seven home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last six night games between the Rays and Orioles.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last seven Tuesday games against AL East opponents.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Colton Cowser has hit a home run in two of the Orioles’ last three games.
- Pete Alonso has recorded two or more hits in each of the Orioles’ last five games as underdogs.
- Taylor Ward ranks 7th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.403) this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in two of the Rays’ last three night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Gavin Lux has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances.
- Chandler Simpson ranks T5th in the league in Steals (14) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Orioles rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.260).
- The Orioles rank 29th in the league for runs allowed this season (292).
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (365).
- The Rays rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.260).
Rays vs Orioles Prediction
The Rays are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Orioles but are 1-3 in their last 4 visits in Baltimore.
In this Rays vs Orioles Prediction, the Rays are coming as -115 road favorites. The Orioles won yesterday in the 13th inning and since the Rays could not win with McClanahan on the mound, I don’t trust them with Jax today, who has been far weaker on the road. Baz is also untrustworthy for the Orioles and bad at home with a 5.66 home ERA and Baltimore is the third-best hitting team against righties in the past couple of weeks. Take the over 9 in this one.