Arizona Diamondbacks (14-10) vs Tampa Bay Rays (9-14)
Game Info: Thursday, April 24, 2025 at 9:40 pm (Chase Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks -135 / Tampa Bay Rays +114 — Over/Under: 8
The Tampa Bay Rays and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet Thursday in MLB action from Chase Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Tampa Bay Rays will send out Drew Rasmussen for the start and Rasmussen is 1-1 with a 0.87 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. This will be Rasmussen’s second career start against the Diamondbacks. Corbin Burnes will get the start for Arizona here and is 0-1 with a 4.64 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season. In his career, Burnes is 1-1 with a 2.37 ERA and 14 strikeouts against Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay Rays Recap
The Tampa Bay Rays come into this game looking to build on their 7-6 win over the Diamondbacks from Wednesday’s matchup to improve to 10-14 on the year. After this series, the Rays will head on the road once again for a series against the San Diego Padres.
Rays Looking To Win Rubber Match
Jake Mangum leads the Rays with 23 hits including 4 doubles and 7 RBIs with a team-high 8 stolen bases while Jonathan Aranda has 22 hits with a team-high 8 doubles, 4 home runs and 13 RBIs. Brandon Lowe has 18 hits with 3 homers and 13 RBIs as well while Junior Caminero has 22 hits with 3 doubles, a team-high 5 home runs and 11 RBIs. Yandy Diaz has 23 hits with 6 doubles, 3 homers and 11 RBIs and Kameron Misner has 22 hits with 7 doubles, 3 homers and 11 RBIs as well while Christopher Morel has a team-high 29 strikeouts as well this season. Jose Caballero has 5 stolen bases while Taylor Walls and Jonny DeLuca each have 4 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won five of their last six games as underdogs against the Diamondbacks.
- The Diamondbacks have lost five of their last six games as favorites against AL East opponents following a loss.
- The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last 15 Thursday games as underdogs.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six home games after going to extra innings.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in three of his five previous appearances against the Diamondbacks after playing the previous day.
- Danny Jansen has scored a run in each of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against NL West opponents.
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 appearances against NL West opponents.
- Josh Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in four of his five previous appearances against the Diamondbacks.
- Jonathan Aranda ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.443) this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Recap
The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this game looking to bounce back after their loss to the Rays in extra innings to fall to 14-10 on the year. After this series, the Diamondbacks will square off with the Atlanta Braves in a weekend series.
Diamondbacks Hoping To Rebound In Game Three
Corbin Carroll has a team-high 33 hits with 9 home runs, 22 RBIs and 8 doubles while Josh Naylor has 30 hits with 6 doubles, 4 home runs and 16 RBIs as well this season. Eugenio Suarez has also added 6 home runs and 15 RBIs while Geraldo Perdomo has 19 RBIs. Naylor has also chipped in a team-high 4 stolen bases as well up to this point in the year while Suarez has the unfortunate distinction of leading the Diamondbacks with 29 strikeouts so far this season. Carroll and Perdomo each have 4 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Rays have lost each of their last five games against National League opponents following a road win.
- The Diamondbacks have won each of their last five games following a home loss.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six road games against NL West opponents following a win.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Pavin Smith has hit a home run in three of the Diamondbacks’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Pavin Smith has recorded a Double in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Corbin Burnes has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Corbin Carroll has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Diamondbacks’ last six games as favorites.
- Pavin Smith has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.
- Corbin Burnes has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
- Corbin Carroll has recorded at least one hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last 12 games as favorites.
- Ketel Marte has recorded a Single in each of his last five home appearances.
- Corbin Carroll ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (9) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Diamondbacks’ last nine games following an extra innings loss have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Rays’ last six night games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
I’m on the Diamondbacks here. I think the Rays have a slight edge in starting pitching with Rasmussen’s form this season and the fact that Burnes has not lived up to the price tag that Arizona had to pay for him, but Burnes has solid numbers against the Rays and I haven’t forgotten about Arizona’s reputation against right-handed pitching this season. I think the Diamondbacks get their bounce back here and get the win to earn the series win. Give me Arizona.