Cincinnati Reds (56-61) vs St. Louis Cardinals (60-58)
Game Info: Monday, August 12, 2024 at 6:40 pm (Great American Ball Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds +123 / St. Louis Cardinals -145 — Over/Under: 9
The St. Louis Cardinals and the Cincinnati Reds meet Monday in MLB action from Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Reds vs Cardinals pick. We will examine:
The St. Louis Cardinals recent form and player performance
The Cincinnati Reds recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the St. Louis Cardinals
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cincinnati Reds
Recent betting trends in games played between the Cardinals and Reds
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Cardinals vs Reds game
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
In their last series the Cardinals took on the Kansas City Royals. St. Louis managed an 8-5 win Friday but then fell 8-3 in the Saturday finale. In the loss the Cardinals got a pretty good start from Andre Pallante (5.2 innings; one earned) but the bullpen faltered behind him.
For Monday’s game the Cardinals will send out Sonny Gray. This year Gray is 11-6 with a 3.65 ERA in 21 starts. Gray is 109-91 with a 3.49 ERA in 300 career games (291 starts).
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
Over on the Reds’ side, they played the Milwaukee Brewers over the weekend. After losses 8-3 and 1-0 in the first pair, in the Sunday finale Cincinnati came back from an early 2-0 deficit for a 4-3 victory. Starting pitcher Nick Lodolo finished with 5.1 innings and three earned runs.
Andrew Abbott will start for the Reds on Monday. This year Abbott is 9-9 with a 3.70 ERA in 23 starts. Abbott is 17-15 with a 3.78 ERA in 44 starts over his career.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Reds’ last eight night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Cardinals’ last five games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last four games at Great American Ball Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last three games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances after playing the previous day.
- Elly De La Cruz has hit at least one home run in two of the Reds’ last three games at Great American Ball Park against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one Single in 10 of his last 11 appearances.
- Tyler Stephenson has scored a run in each of his last five appearances after playing the previous day.
- Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances with the Reds as underdogs against the Cardinals.
- Jonathan India has recorded at least one Double in each of the Reds’ last four games as underdogs against the Cardinals.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Lars Nootbaar has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances with the Cardinals as favorites against the Reds.
- Masyn Winn has recorded a Double in each of the Cardinals’ last three games as favorites.
- Masyn Winn has scored at least one run in each of the Cardinals’ last seven night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances against the Reds after not playing the previous day.
- Masyn Winn has hit a home run in each of the Cardinals’ last three night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Masyn Winn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Cardinals as road favorites.
- Tommy Pham has recorded at least one Single in 10 of his last 11 appearances with the Cardinals as road favorites against the Reds.
- Sonny Gray has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
I’ll try the Cardinals here. Gray finished off July with five earned in 5.0 innings versus the Nationals but since then he’s been pretty solid. In his last pair Gray is 1-0 with four earned in 14.0 total frames. As for Abbott, he’s given up 12 earned over his last 13.0 innings across three losses.
St. Louis didn’t play particularly well on Saturday but the good news is that they’ve been scoring well lately. The Cardinals have three or more runs in five straight games, going 3-2 in that time. So long as Gray can start things off well St. Louis should have a good shot here.