| MATCHUP | St. Louis Cardinals | Atlanta Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 44-39 | 50-34 |
| Spread | -1.5 153 | +1.5 -186 |
| Moneyline | -105 | -115 |
| Total | Over 9 (-108) | Under 9 (-112) |
| Where | Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia | |
| When | Thursday, July 2, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:15 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have a 50‑34 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL East. They have a 25‑15 home record and are coming off a 5‑1 home win against the Cardinals. They will face the Mets and the Pirates next.
The Braves have a .246 batting average this season, .311 OBP and .406 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.40 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. Michael Harris II is the team’s best hitter with a .293 batting average. Matt Olson leads the team in RBI with 52, adding a team‑high 20 home runs.
Hurston Waldrep (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 0‑0 record, 0.00 ERA and 3.00 WHIP.
St. Louis Cardinals Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals have a 44‑39 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL Central. They have a 21‑18 road record and are coming off a 1‑5 road defeat against the Braves. They will face the Cubs and the Brewers next.
The Cardinals have a .244 batting average this season, .321 OBP and .390 Slugging percentage. St. Louis’ pitching staff has a 4.24 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. Jordan Walker is the team’s best hitter with a .288 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 59 and adding a team‑high 18 home runs.
Dustin May (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals, and he has a 5‑6 record, 4.30 ERA and 1.20 WHIP.
St. Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: July 2, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Hurston Waldrep Record this season: 0-0 ERA: 0.00
- Home Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Cardinals: –
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Cardinals have lost each of their last five night games following a loss.
- The Braves have won five of their last six home games after playing the previous day.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against NL Central opponents.
- The Cardinals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games as road underdogs.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against the Cardinals.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Dustin May Record this season: 5-6 ERA: 4.30
- Road Record: 2-3
- Last 5 against Braves: 0-1
Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win
- The Cardinals have won each of their last five games as road underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Braves have lost three of their last four games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against the Cardinals following a win.
- The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against the Braves following a loss.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last eight home games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Ten of the Cardinals’ last 11 games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Cardinals’ last seven Thursday games against National League opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Braves’ last 10 night games against NL Central opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Austin Riley has hit a home run in five of his last 11 appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 16 appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.
- Matt Olson ranks T9th in the league in Home Runs (20) this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Dustin May has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
- Jordan Walker has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine Thursday appearances.
- Nelson Velazquez has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Cardinals as underdogs against NL opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 3rd in the league for ERA this season (3.40).
- The Braves rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.224).
- The Cardinals rank 28th in the league for doubles this season (115).
- The Cardinals rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (642).
Cardinals vs Braves Prediction
The Braves are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings against the Cardinals and have won two of their last three meetings in Atlanta.
In this Cardinals vs Braves Prediction, the Braves are coming as -115 home favorites. I like the Braves in this one at home with Hurston Waldrep, who has played just 2 innings this season but was excellent last season with a 2.88 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 9 starts. I don’t trust Dustin May on the road for the Cardinals and he is coming off a bad start and has to face a top-10 offense in the Braves, who also have the best bullpen in baseball. Take the Braves to win this one.