Atlanta (41-52) vs St. Louis (50-45)
July 12, 2025 at 02:15 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: St. Louis — Over/Under:
The Atlanta Braves and the St. Louis Cardinals meet Saturday in MLB action from Busch Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Atlanta Braves did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted. The St. Louis Cardinals will send out Erick Fedde for the start here and Fedde is 3-9 with a 4.79 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Braves, Fedde is 0-3 with a 7.56 ERA and 18 strikeouts.
Atlanta Braves Recap
The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to build on their 6-5 win over the Cardinals from Friday’s opener to sit at 41-52 on the year. After this series, the Braves will head home for a series against the New York Yankees following the all-star break.
Braves Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight
Austin Riley leads the Braves with 103 hits including 14 home runs, 47 RBIs and 19 doubles but also has the dubious distinction of leading Atlanta with 113 strikeouts so far this season. Ozzie Albies has 78 hits with 7 home runs and 29 RBIs in addition to 7 stolen bases and Matt Olson has 92 hits with 23 doubles, 17 home runs and 58 RBIs of his own. Marcell Ozuna also has 74 hits with 12 home runs and 41 RBIs. Michael Harris II also has 69 hits with 11 doubles, 3 triples, 6 home runs and 43 RBIs and 12 stolen bases as well and Nick Allen has 6 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
The Cardinals have lost four of their last five day games against National League opponents.
The Braves have won four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents.
The road team has covered the run line in six of the last seven games between the Braves and Cardinals.
The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against National League opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one Double in each of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.
Sean Murphy has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances after playing the previous day.
St. Louis Cardinals Recap
The St. Louis Cardinals come into this game looking to rebound from their loss at the hands of the Braves on Friday to fall to 50-45 on the year. After this series, the Cardinals will head on the road for a series against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Cardinals Win Back-To-Back Games
Brendan Donovan has a team-high 98 hits along with 22 doubles, 8 home runs and 35 RBIs while Lars Nootbaar has 75 hits with 12 home runs, 37 RBIs, 15 doubles and 4 stolen bases. Nolan Arenado also has 77 hits with 13 doubles, 10 home runs and 42 RBIs of his own and Victor Scott II has 63 hits with 10 doubles, a triple, 29 RBIs and a team-high 23 stolen bases. Willson Contreras has also chipped in 82 hits with 21 doubles, 12 home runs and 52 RBIs of his own as well this season. Masyn Winn’s added 82 points with 19 doubles, 7 home runs and 32 RBIs and Alec Burleson’s added 81 hits with 15 doubles, 11 home runs and 42 RBIs.
Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win
The Cardinals have won each of their last 10 Saturday games.
The Braves have lost eight of their last nine day games following a win.
The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against the Cardinals following a win.
The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last five games against the Braves following a loss.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
Alec Burleson has recorded at least one Double in three of the Cardinals’ last four home games against the Braves.
Erick Fedde has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 home appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
Lars Nootbaar has hit a home run in three of his last six home appearances with the Cardinals against NL opponents.
Total Runs Facts
Twelve of the Cardinals’ last 14 day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Three of the Braves’ last four games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
I’m backing the Braves in this one. I get the case to be made for the Cardinals at home in some spots, but I can’t get there with Erick Fedde as the starting pitcher. Fedde’s been getting blown up in recent outings and I still think that the Braves are a better team than what their record shows on paper. Give me Atlanta here.