| MATCHUP | Seattle Mariners | Toronto Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 90-72 | 94-68 |
| When | Monday, October 13, 2025 | |
| Time | 05:03 PM EDT | |
| TV | FOX | |
In this article, we will formulate a Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction for this MLB game on Monday, October 13th at the Rogers Centre in Game 2 of the ALCS, with the Mariners having the 1-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Toronto Blue Jays Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays have a 97-70 record this season and were placed first in the AL East. They have a 56-28 home record, and are 89-73 in over/under. They are coming off a 1-3 home defeat by the Mariners in Game 1 of the series, and have lost two of their last three games. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 games.
The Blue Jays have a .265 batting average this season, .333 OBP and .427 Slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Blue Jays with 9 hits, adding a team-high 9 RBI and 3 home runs. Ernie Clement is the team’s best hitter with a .643 batting average.
Trey Yesavage (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays, and he has a 1-0 record, 0.00 ERA and 0.19 WHIP in the postseason. In the regular season, he had a 3-1 record, 3.21 ERA and 1.43 WHIP.
Seattle Mariners Preview
The Seattle Mariners have a 94-74 record this season and were placed first in the AL West. The Mariners have a 41-43 road record and are 91-71 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-1 road victory over the Blue Jays in Game 1, and are 4-1 in their last 5 games. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 games.
The Mariners have a .244 batting average this season, .320 OBP and .420 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Cal Raleigh leads the Mariners in hits in the postseason with 8, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .381 batting average. He also leads the team in RBI with 4, while Jorge Polanco leads the team in home runs, with two.
Logan Gilbert (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has a 1-0 record, 1.13 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in the postseason. In the regular season, he had a 6-6 record, 3.44 ERA and 1.03 WHIP.
Seattle Mariners @ Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends: October 13, 2025
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Trey Yesavage Record this season (inc. playoffs): 2-0 ERA: 2.33
- Home Record: 2-0
- Last 5 against Mariners: –
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Mariners have lost each of their last seven night games against AL East opponents following a road win.
- The Blue Jays have won each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against AL East opponents following a road win.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line each of their last nine Monday games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in each of their last six home games.
- The Mariners have lost the first inning in each of their last four games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in each of their last five home games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Gilbert Record this season (inc. playoffs): 7-6 ERA: 3.30
- Road Record: 4-4
- Last 5 against Blue Jays: 0-1
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Mariners have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five playoff games as favorites.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Mariners and Blue Jays.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 15 home games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mariners have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven road games.
- The Mariners have led after 5 innings in four of their last five road night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mariners’ last five playoff games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last four games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last six games as road underdogs.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Mariners and Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- George Springer has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last four home games.
- Bo Bichette has recorded a Double in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances with the Blue Jays as home favorites against AL opponents.
- George Springer ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.399) this season.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in four of the Mariners’ last five road games.
- Randy Arozarena has recorded a hit in each of his last 10 playoff appearances after playing the previous day.
- Cal Raleigh ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (60) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1461).
- The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.265).
- The Mariners rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (234).
- The Mariners rank T29th in the league for triples this season (9).
Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction
The Blue Jays are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Mariners, but the Mariners have won their last three visits in Toronto. Over is 7-2 in their last 9 meetings.
In this Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction, the Blue Jays are coming as -135 home favorites. The Mariners drew first blood in the series and got both the lead and stole the home court advantage. They are now putting Gilbert on the mound, who has been elite this season, and coming into this matchup in excellent form, with a 4-1 record and 2.30 ERA across his last 5 starts. Yesavage is also coming off back-to-back shutouts for the Jays, including 5.1 runless innings with 11 strikeouts against the Yankees in the ALDS Game 2. Yesterday’s game had just 4 total runs, and I expect both today’s pitchers to suppress the opposing offenses. Take the under 8 in this one.