St. Louis Cardinals (71-69) vs Seattle Mariners (71-70)
September 7, 2024 at 07:15 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: St. Louis Cardinals +108 / Seattle Mariners -128 — Over/Under: 7
The Seattle Mariners and the St. Louis Cardinals square off Saturday in MLB action from Busch Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Seattle Mariners will trot out Logan Gilbert for the start here and Gilbert is 7-10 with a 3.19 ERA and 181 strikeouts this season. This will be Gilbert’s first career start against the Cardinals. The St. Louis Cardinals will start Kyle Gibson here and Gibson is 8-6 with a 4.39 ERA and 134 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Seattle, Gibson is 0-3 with an 8.22 ERA and 21 strikeouts.
Seattle Mariners Recap
The Seattle Mariners come into this one looking to build on their series-opening 6-1 win over the Cardinals last time out. The win put the Mariners in a good spot to build on their series split with the A’s from earlier this week.
Mariners Trying To Stay Alive In Playoff Race
Going into Friday, Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners with 121 hits including a .258 batting average, and also has 13 doubles. Cal Raleigh has a team-high 29 home runs along with 87 RBIs and 156 strikeouts. Mitch Haniger also has 12 home runs and 44 RBIs while Rodriguez has 20 stolen bases and 131 strikeouts as well this season. Dylan Moore has 22 doubles with 29 stolen bases and Josh Rojas has 19 doubles also this season.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Cardinals have lost 16 of their last 18 home games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mariners have won nine of their last 10 night games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in 16 of their last 18 home games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
St. Louis Cardinals Recap
The St. Louis Cardinals will be looking to bounce back after taking one on the chin in Friday’s opener. The Cards have lost their last three series openers but ended up winning each of those series against the Padres, Yankees, and Brewers over the last two weeks.
Cardinals Making Last Chance Push For Postseason
Entering Friday’s action, Nolan Arenado has 136 hits along with 21 doubles and 64 RBIs while Brendan Donovan has 138 hits and 61 RBIs with 30 doubles. Nolan Gorman has 19 home runs along with 50 RBIs in addition to 15 doubles while Masyn Winn has a .277 batting average, 140 hits, and 10 stolen bases. Paul Goldschmidt also has 155 K’s while Gorman has a team-high 151 strikeouts as well this season. Alec Burleson also has a team-high 21 home runs and 73 RBIs as well this year.
Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win
- The Cardinals have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Mariners have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against National League opponents following a road win.
- The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last six games against the Mariners following a loss.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against National League opponents.
Mariners vs. Cardinals Prediction
I’m on the over here. Gilbert’s been getting torched in his last few road starts and he’s been much better at home this season as a lot of Mariners have. Gibson’s gotten crushed himself, and I think this is just going to be a tough spot for him to get a solid start in against a Mariners team that’s started to find some life offensively. Give me the over here.