| MATCHUP | Seattle Mariners | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 41-40 | 40-40 |
| Spread | -1.5 114 | +1.5 -137 |
| Moneyline | -148 | +123 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-107) | Under 8.5 (-112) |
| Where | PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania | |
| When | Thursday, June 25, 2026 | |
| Time | 12:35 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Pittsburgh Pirates Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 40-40 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL Central. They have a 21-20 home record and are coming off an 11-1 home win against the Mariners. They will face the Reds and the Phillies next.
The Pirates have a .257 batting average this season, .336 OBP and .411 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the team’s best hitter with a .297 batting average. Bryan Reynolds leads the team in RBI with 52, while Brandon Lowe adds a team-high 18 home runs.
Bubba Chandler (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and he has a 2-7 record, 4.62 ERA and 1.38 WHIP.
Seattle Mariners Preview
The Seattle Mariners have a 41-40 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the AL West. They have a 19-21 road record and are coming off a 1-11 road defeat against the Pirates. They will face the Guardians and the Angels next.
The Mariners have a .231 batting average this season, .311 OBP and .386 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Randy Arozarena is the team’s best hitter with a .284 batting average. Julio Rodriguez leads the team in RBI with 38, while Luke Raley adds a team-high 14 home runs.
Bryce Miller (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has a 3-1 record, 1.58 ERA and 0.70 WHIP.
Seattle Mariners @ Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends: June 25, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Bubba Chandler Record this season: 2-7 ERA: 4.62
- Home Record: 1-3
- Last 5 against Mariners: –
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won three of their last four games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Mariners have lost six of their last nine games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last six games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against National League opponents.
- The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games.
- The Pirates have won the first inning in five of their last six day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Pirates have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Bryce Miller Record this season: 3-1 ERA: 1.58
- Road Record: 3-0
- Last 5 against Pirates: –
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Mariners have won seven of their last eight games against NL Central opponents.
- The Pirates have lost seven of their last eight day games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last five road games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as home underdogs against AL West opponents following a home win.
- The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs.
- The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mariners’ last five road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Pirates’ last four games as underdogs against the Mariners have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of Bubba Chandler’s last eight appearances as a starter.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Bryce Miller’s last four appearances as a starter.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in each of the Pirates’ last two day games.
- Bubba Chandler has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 14 games.
- Bryan Reynolds ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.404) this season.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in each of the Mariners’ last two games as road favorites against the Pirates.
- Bryce Miller has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Bryce Miller has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
- Cole Young has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last 12 day games.
- Randy Arozarena ranks T6th in the league in Steals (19) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pirates rank T1st in the league for hits this season (712).
- The Pirates rank 3rd in the league for RBIs this season (386).
- The Mariners rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (208).
- The Mariners rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (101).
Mariners vs Pirates Prediction
The Mariners have won their last 7 meetings against the Pirates, having won their last three visits in Pittsburgh.
In this Mariners vs Pirates Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -140 road favorites. I like the Mariners in this one with Bryce Miller on the bump, who has been elite this season, never given up more than 2 runs in all of his six starts. On the flip side, Bubba Chandler has given up at least two runs in 8 of his 9 starts this season and has been weaker at home. On top of that, the Mariners have the 7th-best bullpen in baseball, so I expect them to win this one on the road.