| MATCHUP | Seattle Mariners | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 56-63 | 66-52 |
| Spread | +1.5 -188 | -1.5 154 |
| Moneyline | +109 | -131 |
| Total | Over 8 (-112) | Under 8 (-108) |
| Where | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York | |
| When | Tuesday, August 11, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:05 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
New York Yankees Preview
The New York Yankees have a 66-52 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the AL East. They have a 29-26 home record and are coming off a 1-2 home loss against the Braves. They will face the Blue Jays and the Orioles next.
The New York Yankees have a .230 batting average this season, .309 OBP and .411 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 3.30 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. Ben Rice is the team’s best hitter with a .257 batting average, adding a team-high 75 RBI and a team-high 32 home runs.
Ryan Weathers (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees, and he has a 5-7 record, 3.79 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.
Seattle Mariners Preview
The Seattle Mariners have a 56-63 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the AL West. They have a 23-34 away record and are coming off a 1-4 home loss against the Rays. They will face the Astros and the Brewers next.
The Seattle Mariners have a .229 batting average this season, .308 OBP and .375 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. Randy Arozarena is the team’s best hitter with a .276 batting average. Cole Young leads the team in RBI with 52, while Julio Rodriguez adds a team-high 18 home runs.
Bryan Woo (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has a 8-8 record, 4.31 ERA and 1.12 WHIP.
Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees Betting Trends: August 11, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Ryan Weathers Record this season: 5-7 ERA: 3.79
- Home Record: 3-5
- Last 5 against Mariners: 0-0
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Mariners have lost each of their last seven night games against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have won each of their last seven night games against AL West opponents following a loss.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Mariners following a loss.
- The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in nine of their last 10 night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mariners have lost the first inning in each of their last seven road games.
- The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Bryan Woo Record this season: 8-8 ERA: 4.31
- Road Record: 1-8
- Last 5 against Yankees: 2-1
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Mariners have won 10 of their last 12 games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a home loss.
- The Yankees have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against American League opponents.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as road underdogs following a home loss.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites.
- The Yankees have lost the first inning in four of their last five home games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six home games against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the last eight games between the Mariners and Yankees at Yankee Stadium have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Mariners’ last eight road games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mariners’ last seven road games.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Yankees’ last seven home games against AL West opponents.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Ben Rice has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last two night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Ryan Weathers has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against AL West opponents.
- Heliot Ramos has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against the Mariners.
- Luis Garcia ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.551) this season.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Randy Arozarena has hit a home run in three of the Mariners’ last four road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Bryan Woo has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
- Cole Young has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last 15 games as underdogs.
- Josh Naylor ranks T10th in the league in Steals (23) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.30).
- The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (167).
- The Mariners rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (462).
- The Mariners rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (142).
Mariners vs Yankees Prediction
The Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 meetings against the Mariners, having won their last three meetings in New York.
In this Mariners vs Yankees Prediction, the Yankees are coming as -125 home favorites. I like the Yankees in this one against a struggling Mariners team that has four straight losses and their bats have gone ice-cold, scoring just 1.6 runs per game in their last 5. Woo has been terrible on the road with a 1-8 record and 6.71 ERA, while Weathers has been hot for the Yankees with back-to-back shutouts. Don’t overthink this one and take the Yankees to win.