| MATCHUP | Seattle Mariners | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 59-67 | 78-48 |
| Spread | +1.5 -208 | -1.5 170 |
| Moneyline | +104 | -125 |
| Total | Over 7 (-118) | Under 7 (-102) |
| Where | American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin | |
| When | Wednesday, August 19, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 78-48 record this season and are sitting in 1st place in the NL Central. They have a 42-22 home record and are coming off a 22-0 home win against the Mariners. They will face the Braves and the Mets next.
The Milwaukee Brewers have a .252 batting average this season, a .337 OBP, and a .396 slugging percentage. The Brewers’ pitching staff has a 3.43 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. Jake Bauers leads the Brewers with a .278 batting average and a team-high 22 home runs, while Brice Turang leads the team in RBI with 75.
Dustin May (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 6-7 record, a 4.13 ERA, and a 1.25 WHIP.
Seattle Mariners Preview
The Seattle Mariners have a 59-67 record this season and are sitting in 3rd place in the AL West. They have a 26-38 road record and are coming off a 0-22 road loss against the Brewers. They will face the Cubs and the Phillies next.
The Seattle Mariners have a .229 batting average this season, a .309 OBP, and a .377 slugging percentage. The Mariners’ pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Randy Arozarena leads the Mariners with a .274 batting average. Cole Young leads the team in RBI with 56, while Julio Rodriguez adds a team-high 19 home runs.
Logan Gilbert (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has a 9-7 record, a 3.28 ERA, and a 0.99 WHIP.
Seattle Mariners @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: August 19, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Dustin May Record this season: 6-7 ERA: 4.13
- Home Record: 4-3
- Last 5 against Mariners: 0-1
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Mariners have lost each of their last 13 Wednesday night road games.
- The Brewers have won seven of their last eight home games against AL West opponents.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine road games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last five games against the Mariners.
- The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last eight road games against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in each of their last five home games.
- The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last 12 road games against National League opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Gilbert Record this season: 9-7 ERA: 3.28
- Road Record: 2-3
- Last 5 against Brewers: 1-0
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Brewers have lost each of their last three games as favorites against the Mariners following a home win.
- The Mariners have won three of their last four games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against American League opponents following a home win.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in five of their last six road games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mariners’ last six games as underdogs against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Brewers’ last six games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last five home games.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mariners’ last five games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Jake Bauers has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last three night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Dustin May has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against AL West opponents.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against AL West opponents.
- Jake Bauers ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.387) this season.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in five of the Mariners’ last eight road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Logan Gilbert has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
- Logan Gilbert has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his six previous appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Josh Naylor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances with the Mariners as road underdogs.
- Josh Naylor ranks T10th in the league in Steals (24) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (117).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (909).
- The Mariners rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (489).
- The Mariners rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (154).
Mariners vs Brewers Prediction
The Brewers are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against the Mariners and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Milwaukee.
In this Mariners vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -120 home favorites. I have to keep riding the Brewers after an insane 22-0 win yesterday. Dustin May has been elite as a Brewer with a 2.08 ERA in his two starts and has given up two runs or less in six of his last seven starts and has been better at home. On the flip side, Gilbert has given up 3+ runs in four of his last six starts and the Mariners’ bullpen has been in terrible form lately. Take the Brewers to win this one at home.