Milwaukee (60-41) vs Seattle (54-47)
July 23, 2025 at 03:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Seattle -114 / Seattle -125 — Over/Under: +7.5
The Milwaukee Brewers are visiting the Seattle Mariners on Wednesday, July 23rd at the T-Mobile Park in the third game of this series, with both teams being tied 1-1. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs Seattle Mariners prediction. We will examine:
The Seattle Mariners’ recent form and player performance
The Milwaukee Brewers’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Seattle Mariners
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Milwaukee Brewers
Recent betting trends in games played between the Milwaukee Brewers vs Seattle Mariners
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Milwaukee Brewers vs Seattle Mariners game
Seattle Mariners Preview
The Seattle Mariners have a 54-47 record this season and are sitting in second place in the AL West. The Mariners have a 28-23 home record and are 56-40 in over/under. They are coming off a 1-0 home victory over the Brewers, which ended their previous two-game losing streak. Over is 8-2 in their last 10 games, and they are playing the Athletics and the Angels next.
The Mariners have a .248 batting average this season, a .324 OBP, and a .412 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. J.P. Crawford leads the Mariners in hits with 103, and is the team’s best hitter with a .281 batting average. Cal Raleigh leads the team both in RBI with 84 and in home runs with 39.
Luis Castillo (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has a 7-5 record, 3.21 ERA, and 1.21 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 60-41 record this season and are sitting in second place in the NL Central. They have a 27-24 road record and are 42-56 in over/under. They are coming off a 0-1 road defeat by the Mariners, which snapped their previous 11-game win streak. Over is 5-3 in their last 8 games, and they are playing the Marlins and the Cubs next.
The Brewers have a .249 batting average this season, a .323 OBP, and a .382 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.60 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Jackson Churio leads the Brewers with 113 hits, while Christian Yelich leads the team in RBI, with 66, adding a team-high 19 home runs. Sal Frelick is the team’s best hitter with a .294 batting average.
Quinn Priester (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has an 8-2 record, 3.33 ERA, and 1.20 WHIP.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
The Mariners have won seven of their last eight home games against NL Central opponents.
The Mariners have covered the run line in six of their last seven day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
The Mariners have led after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
The Brewers have won eight of their last nine games as underdogs.
The Mariners have lost eight of their last 10 Wednesday games as home favorites against National League opponents.
The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last 16 games as underdogs.
The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games following a home win.
The Brewers have won the first inning in four of their last five day games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
The Brewers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
The Brewers have led after 3 innings in eight of their last 10 day games against AL West opponents.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Mariners’ last seven home games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Six of the Brewers’ last seven day games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last nine games.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 15 of the Mariners’ last 16 day games against National League opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
The Mariners rank 28th in the league for doubles this season (143).
The Mariners rank 28th in the league for triples this season (5).
The Brewers rank 3rd in the league for steals this season (116).
The Brewers rank 27th in the league for doubles this season (144).
Milwaukee Brewers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
The Brewers are 7-2 in their 9 meetings against the Mariners, and are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings in Seattle. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.
In this Milwaukee Brewers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -130 home favorites. The Brewers have a better overall record, and both teams have similar home/away wins. Both pitchers are coming into this matchup in excellent form, as they have a combined 5.40 ERA in each of their last 5 starts, and both are 5-0 in that span. With both previous games of this series having a total of seven runs combined, I expect another low-scoring grind, so take the under 7.5 runs in this one.