Seattle (48-45) vs Detroit (59-35)
July 11, 2025 at 07:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit -1.5 — Over/Under: +7
The Seattle Mariners and Detroit Tigers meet Friday in MLB action at Comerica Park. Here’s a Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers Prediction. This article will include a Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers Pick.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners are 48-45 on the year and play the Astros, Brewers, and Angels next. The Seattle Mariners are batting .246 on the season, have a .322 OBP, and a .407 slugging percentage. The Seattle Mariners pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. J.P. Crawford leads the Seattle Mariners with 95 hits and 32 RBI, while Julio Rodriguez and Cal Raleigh have combined for 181 hits and 120 RBI.
Luis Castillo gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 5-5 with a 3.31 ERA and 87 strikeouts this season. Castillo is 1-4 with a 3.75 ERA and 43 strikeouts in his career against the Detroit Tigers.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 59-35 on the year and play the Rangers, Pirates, and Blue Jays next. The Detroit Tigers are batting .252 on the season, have a .324 OBP, and a .426 slugging percentage. The Detroit Tigers pitching staff has a 3.45 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Detroit Tigers with 99 hits and 72 RBI while Zach McKinstry and Gleyber Torres have combined for 159 hits and 72 RBI.
Tarik Skubal gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 10-2 with a 2.02 ERA and 148 strikeouts this season. Skubal is 3-1 with a 3.04 ERA and 35 strikeouts in his career against the Seattle Mariners.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
The Tigers have won seven of their last eight games against American League opponents.
The Mariners have lost each of their last five road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as road underdogs after playing the previous day.
The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last four games against the Mariners following a loss.
The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against AL Central opponents.
The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as road underdogs.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
The Mariners have won each of their last three games as underdogs against the Tigers following a loss.
The Tigers have lost eight of their last 11 games as favorites against AL West opponents following a home loss.
The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against the Tigers following a loss.
The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight Friday games against AL West opponents.
The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in 16 of their last 19 games at Comerica Park against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
Tarik Skubal has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances with the Tigers as home favorites against AL opponents.
Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances at Comerica Park.
Kerry Carpenter has hit at least one home run in each of the Tigers’ last four night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
Tarik Skubal ranks T2nd in the league for Wins (10) this season.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Jorge Polanco has hit a home run in three of the Mariners’ last four games against AL opponents.
Luis Castillo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
Victor Robles has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents.
Cal Raleigh ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.639) this season.
Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
Castillo has been solid this season with a 3.31 ERA and 1.22 WHIP, and he gives the Mariners a fighting chance each night. However, the Mariners aren’t playing well this week and Castillo’s numbers drop to a 4.67 ERA and .302 batting average on the road. Skubal has a 2.02 ERA and 0.81 WHIP, and the Tigers have won his last six starts. In 65.2 home innings, Skubal has a 2.06 ERA and .197 allowed batting average. I’m not stepping in front of the Tigers in this spot. Give me the Tigers at home.