Cleveland Guardians (44-26) vs Seattle Mariners (44-31)
Game Info: Thursday, June 20, 2024 at 1:10 pm (Progressive Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians -101 / Seattle Mariners -118 — Over/Under:
The Seattle Mariners and the Cleveland Guardians meet Thursday in MLB action from Progressive Field. Here’s a Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
• The Seattle Mariners recent form and player performance
• The Cleveland Guardians recent form and player performance
• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Seattle Mariners
• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cleveland Guardians
• Recent betting trends in games played between the Mariners and Guardians
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Mariners vs Guardians game
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Mariners played the Texas Rangers in their weekend series. Seattle managed wins in all three installments of that set 3-2, 7-5 and 5-0 for a sweep. After an 8-5 win over Cleveland on Tuesday, in game two the Mariners were shut out 8-0. Bryan Woo gave up three earned on four hits and a walk in 4.0 frames during the start.
In the starter slot for the Mariners on Thursday it’ll be Luis Castillo. This year Castillo is 6-7 with a 3.32 ERA and 92 Ks in 89.1 innings over 15 starts. Castillo is 68-71 with a 3.52 ERA in 196 starts over his career. The Mariners will face the Marlins and Rays following this series.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
Over on the Guardians’ side, they played the Toronto Blue Jays in their weekend series. Cleveland won 3-1 Friday but lost the other two games 5-0 and 7-6. In Wednesday’s matchup the Guardians out-hit the Mariners 9-3. Starter Tanner Bibee finished with 6.0 clean frames, three hits, one walk and 12 Ks.
It’ll be Logan Allen in the starting pitcher role for the Guardians on Thursday. So far Allen has a 7-3 record and a 5.30 ERA over 14 starts with 57 Ks in 69.2 innings. Allen is 14-11 with a 4.34 ERA in 38 career starts. The Guardians will take on the Blue Jays and Orioles after this series.
Mariners vs Guardians Pick Injury Notes
Mariners RP Gregory Santos (lat) threw a 30-pitch bullpen session over the weekend.
Total Runs Facts
- Sixteen of the Mariners’ last 18 road games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the last six games between the Mariners and Guardians at Progressive Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last four games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last three games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Will Brennan has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against AL opponents.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 13 games against the Mariners.
- Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine home appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last 10 appearances at Progressive Field against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Josh Naylor has recorded at least one Single in each of the Guardians’ last 10 games at Progressive Field against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against AL Central opponents.
- Mitch Garver has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mariners’ last four games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
- J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last six games as road favorites.
- J.P. Crawford has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Mariners as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
- J.P. Crawford has hit a home run in three of the Mariners’ last four road games against AL Central opponents.
- Josh Rojas has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Mariners’ last four games against AL opponents.
- Josh Rojas has recorded a Double in each of the Mariners’ last three games.
Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction
I’ll stick with the Guardians. Allen had a rough start at Coors Field to finish off May, giving up seven earned in 1.2 innings. Since then Allen is 1-0 with three earned in 11.0 innings over two starts, though. As for Castillo, he’s 2-1 over his last three starts with seven earned in 18.0 total innings (five in one start).
On Wednesday the Guardians were up 3-0 after two innings and cruised to the win on a big offensive effort. Josh Naylor contributed four RBI and two homers by himself. Cleveland probably won’t plate as many this time but they should be in great shape overall for another win.