Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 6/11/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Seattle Mariners and the Baltimore Orioles meet Thursday in MLB action from Camden Yards. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Seattle Mariners will send out Bryan Woo for the start here and Woo is 5-4 with a 3.74 ERA and 75 strikeouts this season. This will be Woo’s second career start against the Orioles. Kyle Bradish will get the start for Baltimore and is 3-7 with a 3.89 ERA and 68 strikeouts this season. In his career, Bradish is 1-0 with a 3.06 ERA and 20 strikeouts against the Mariners.

Seattle Mariners Recap

The Seattle Mariners come into this game looking to bounce back from a 7-2 loss at the hands of the Orioles last time out to sit at 36-33 this season. After this series, the Mariners will head on the road for a series against the Washington Nationals.

Mariners Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped

Luke Raley has 13 home runs and 31 RBIs this season. Cole Young’s added 61 hits with 10 doubles, a triple, 4 home runs and 31 RBIs and Cal Raleigh has 26 hits with 4 doubles, 7 home runs and 18 RBIs as well this season. Randy Arozarena has 75 hits with 18 doubles, 7 home runs and 33 RBIs as well on the year. Josh Naylor also has 66 hits with 7 home runs and 31 RBIs as well on the year. Julio Rodriguez has also added 70 hits with 14 doubles, 13 home runs and 33 RBIs.

Baltimore Orioles Recap

The Baltimore Orioles come into this game looking to add on to their win over Seattle from Wednesday to sit at 32-37 this season. After this series, the Orioles will take on the Padres in a series at home.

Orioles Snap Four-Game Slide

Taylor Ward has 65 hits with 16 doubles and 20 RBIs while Gunnar Henderson has 63 hits with 13 doubles, 13 home runs and 32 RBIs and Pete Alonso has 64 hits with 12 doubles, 14 home runs and 42 RBIs. Adley Rutschman has 48 hits with 14 doubles, 8 home runs and 36 RBIs. Jeremiah Jackson has 44 hits with 7 doubles, 6 home runs and 28 RBIs as well on the year. Samuel Basallo has 47 hits with 9 doubles, 9 home runs and 27 RBIs.

Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends: June 11, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Kyle Bradish      Record this season: 3-7      ERA: 3.89
• Home Record: 2-3
• Last 5 against Mariners: 1-0

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won each of their last five games as underdogs against the Mariners following a win.
• The Mariners have lost nine of their last 11 games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last 13 games as home underdogs against AL West opponents following a home win.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Thursday games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games as favorites against AL East opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Bryan Woo      Record this season: 5-4      ERA: 3.74
• Road Record: 1-4
• Last 5 against Orioles: 0-1

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Mariners have won each of their last six night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a loss.
• The Orioles have lost nine of their last 10 night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last four night games following a road loss.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 15 home games against AL West opponents following a win.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five Thursday night games.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Mariners’ last nine games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Kyle Bradish’s last eight home appearances as a starter.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Mariners’ last five games.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in three of the Orioles’ last five night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Kyle Bradish has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against AL West opponents.
• Leody Taveras has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last seven games as home underdogs.
• Taylor Ward ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.406) this season.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in five of his last nine appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Randy Arozarena ranks 5th in the league in Steals (18) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Orioles rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.262).
• The Orioles rank 29th in the league for hits allowed this season (618).
• The Mariners rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (182).
• The Mariners are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.

Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction

I’m on the Mariners in this one. Bryan Woo has solid career numbers against the Orioles and the Mariners have still been playing the better baseball between these two teams in the month of June so far. I just can’t get there with the Orioles in their current form and I don’t love Kyle Bradish in this matchup and I think Seattle takes care of business here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Seattle -110