| MATCHUP | San Francisco Giants | San Diego Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Spread | -1.5 123 | +1.5 -149 |
| Moneyline | -143 | +119 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-118) | Under 7.5 (-102) |
| Where | Petco Park, San Diego, California | |
| When | Tuesday, March 31, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article, we will formulate a Giants vs Padres Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, March 31st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
San Diego Padres Preview
The San Diego Padres have a 1-3 record this season and are sitting in the second place of the NL West. They have a 1-3 home record and are coming off a 2-3 home defeat by the Giants. Their previous three games were a 3-0 home win, a 5-2 home loss, and an 8-2 home loss to the Tigers.
The Padres have a .181 batting average this season, .252 OBP and .260 Slugging percentage. San Diego’s pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Ramon Laureano is the team’s best hitter with a .357 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 3 and adding a team-high one home run.
Logan Webb (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres, and he has a 0-1 record, 10.80 ERA and 2.00 WHIP.
San Francisco Giants Preview
The San Francisco Giants have a 0-3 record this season and are sitting in the last place of the NL West. They have a 1-0 road record and are coming off a 3-2 road victory over the Padres. They lost their previous three home games to the Yankees by scores of 3-1, 3-0, and 7-0.
The Giants have a .154 batting average this season, .230 OBP and .211 Slugging percentage. San Francisco’s pitching staff has a 3.50 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. Heliot Ramos is the team’s best hitter with a .214 batting average, while Matt Chapman leads the team with one RBI and Harrison Badge adds a team-high one home run.
German Marquez (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Giants, and last season he had a 3-16 record, 6.70 ERA and 1.71 WHIP.
San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres Betting Trends: March 31, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: German Marquez Record this season: – ERA: –
- Home Record: –
- Last 5 against Giants: 0-4
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Giants have lost each of their last seven games as road favorites against the Padres following a win.
- The Padres have won each of their last six games as home underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last 15 games as underdogs against the Giants.
- The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against the Padres following a win.
- The Giants have lost the first inning in four of their last five games at Petco Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as home underdogs against NL West opponents.
- The Padres have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Webb Record this season: 0-1 ERA: 10.80
- Road Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Padres: 1-3
Why the San Francisco Giants will win
- The Giants have won eight of their last nine games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Padres have lost four of their last five games.
- The Giants have covered the run line in eight of their last nine road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games.
- The Giants have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Giants have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Giants have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Giants’ last 10 games as favorites against the Padres have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Padres’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last eight games as favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last 10 Tuesday night games.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Merrill has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- German Marquez has recorded four or more strikeouts in 26 of his last 29 home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL opponents.
San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts
- Heliot Ramos has hit a home run in three of the Giants’ last five games as favorites.
- Logan Webb has recorded six or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 13 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Logan Webb has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Matt Chapman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Padres rank 29th in the league for RBIs this season (8).
- The Padres rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.260).
- The Giants rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (4).
- The Giants rank 30th in the league for hits this season (19).
Giants vs Padres Prediction
The Padres are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Giants and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in San Diego.
In this Giants vs Padres Prediction, the Giants are coming as -140 home favorites. The Giants bounced back yesterday and got their first win of the season and now both teams have identical 1-3 records. The Giants are putting Logan Webb on the mound who was torched in his first start of the season by the Yankees but he will have a much easier matchup against the Padres squad that has a measly .181 batting average so far. Padres are putting German Marquez on the mound, who had been terrible last season and was torched in his three starts against the Giants, with 15 earned runs in 13.2 innings pitched. I expect a bounce-back performance by Webb that will lead the Giants to another victory in this matchup.

