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San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets Prediction 9/4/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Jul 12, 2026; New York City, New York, USA;  New York Mets shortstop Francisco Lindor (12) at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Wendell Cruz-Imagn Images

Jul 12, 2026; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets shortstop Francisco Lindor (12) at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Wendell Cruz-Imagn Images

MATCHUP San Francisco Giants New York Mets
Team Records 58-83 63-77
Spread +1.5 -136 -1.5 113
Moneyline +157 -191
Total Over 8 (-114) Under 8 (-105)
Where Citi Field, Queens, New York
When Friday, September 4, 2026
Time 07:10 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV
The San Francisco Giants and the New York Mets will meet on Friday night in the opening game of a three‑game National League series at Citi Field in Queens, New York.

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

The San Francisco Giants enter Friday’s contest with a 58–33 overall record (4th in the National League West) and a dreadful 25–47 mark on the road. The Giants offense has struggled to find consistency this season. San Francisco has compiled 586 runs scored (23rd in MLB), 233 doubles, 157 home runs, and a .247 team batting average which ranks 15th in the Major League Baseball.

The Giants arrive at this evening’s game in below average form. San Francisco has lost four of the team’s last seven games played this season.

The San Francisco Giants will turn to left hander Matt Wilkinson in this game. In three starts made in 2026, Wilkinson has compiled an 0–2 win‑loss record, a 4.63 ERA, a 1.11 WHIP, and six strikeouts in 11.2 innings pitched. Matt Wilkinson performed well in his last outing, allowing two earned runs while scattering three hits and two walks across six innings pitched in the Arizona Diamondbacks 7-1 defeat of the San Francisco Giants last week. Wilkinson will look to build on his recent strong pitching performance on the mound in tonight’s matchup with the New York Mets.

The Cincinnati Reds lineup features Elly De La Cruz and Sal Stewart. Shortstop Elly De La Cruz has compiled a .262 batting average, 21 home runs, 58 RBIs and an .817 OPS. First baseman Sal Stewart enters this contest with 27 home runs (14th in MLB), 55 walks, 98 RBIs (1st in MLB) and an .808 OPS.                                                    

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets enter Friday night’s matchup with a 63–77 overall record (5th in the National League East) and a 32–39 mark at home. New York arrives at this contest in subpar form, losing five of the team’s last eight games, including a 6–3 loss to the Houston Astros five days ago.

The Mets will start right hander Nolan McLean in today’s game. In 27 starts made in 2026, McLean has compiled a 10–8 win‑loss record, a 3.06 ERA, a 1.12 WHIP and 172 strikeouts which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. McLean arrives at this contest in strong form, allowing one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts made this season.

Turning our attention to the New York offense, the Mets lineup features Juan Soto, who has compiled a .283 batting average, 22 home runs, 54 RBIs, 8 doubles, and a .950 OPS. Carson Benge, who has tallied 16 home runs, 54 RBIs, 19 doubles, 39 walks and a .759 OPS.              

Why the San Francisco Giants will win.

• Offensive balance. Marco Luciano and Heliot Ramos have been key contributors for the Giants lineup.

• Starting pitching. Matt Wilkinson has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts.

• Motivation factor. The Giants are looking to build momentum after winning three of their last six games.

Why the New York Mets will win.

• Offensive firepower. Juan Soto and Carson Benge provide a strong core to the Mets lineup.

• Starting pitching. In 27 starts made in 2026, Nolan McLean has compiled a 10–8 win‑loss record, a 3.06 ERA, a 1.12 WHIP and 172 strikeouts which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball.

San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets Prediction

In my opinion, this matchup favors the New York Mets. Why? New York hurler Nolan McLean arrives at this contest in strong form, allowing one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts made this season. Additionally, the San Francisco Giants have played below average baseball recently, losing four of the team’s last seven games. With that said, I am backing the New York Mets on the moneyline in this game.

Hans Geevers's Pick: New York Mets ML

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