Cincinnati Reds (53-57) vs San Francisco Giants (55-57)
Game Info: Sunday, August 4, 2024 at 12:05 pm (Great American Ball Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds +105 / San Francisco Giants -125 — Over/Under: 9.5
In this article we will formulate a San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 4th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:
- The Giants recent form and recent player performance
- The Reds recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving San Francisco
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cincinnati
- Recent betting trends in games played between San Francisco and Cincinnati
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between San Francisco and Cincinnati
Giants Aim for Bounce Back Pitching Performance
The San Francisco Giants are 55-57 this year and they have won two of their last three games. San Francisco won the first game in this series by a score of 3-0, but they allowed six runs in game two. Prior to this series, the Giants split two games with the Athletics, swept the Rockies in four games, and lost three out of four against the Dodgers. San Francisco is 6-2 in their last eight games and they are fourth in the NL West.
The San Francisco pitching staff has 4.29 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a .254 opponent batting average. The Giants offense has scored 487 runs with a .243 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Matt Chapman is batting .244 with 16 home runs and 49 RBI’s for the Giants this season. San Francisco has allowed two runs or fewer in four of their last seven games.
Reds Going for Back to Back Series Wins
The Cincinnati Reds are 53-57 this season and they have won three of their last five games. Cincinnati was shutout in game one of this series, but they did win game two by a score of 6-4. Prior to this series, the Reds won two out of three against the Cubs, lost two out of three against the Rays, and won both games against the Braves. Cincinnati is 6-4 in their last ten games and they are fourth in the NL Central.
The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 483 runs with a .228 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .257 with 18 home runs and 45 RBI’s for the Reds this season. Cincinnati has scored at least four runs in four of their last five games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Robbie Ray, who is 1-1 with a 4.82 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 9.1 innings pitched this year. Ray has allowed five earned runs and seven hits over two starts with the Giants this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Carson Spiers, who is 4-2 with a 3.46 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 52.0 innings pitched this season. Spiers has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last five starts.
Why the Giants will beat the Reds
- The Reds have lost each of their last eight Sunday day games.
- The favorites have won each of the last seven games between the Giants and Reds at Great American Ball Park.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Sunday day games.
- The road team has covered the run line in four of the Giants’ last five games.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Reds’ last nine games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Giants’ last four games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last seven home games against NL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last four games.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Tyler Stephenson has hit at least one home run in four of the Reds’ last five home games against NL West opponents.
- Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one hit in 11 of his last 12 appearances.
- Ty France has scored a run in each of his last five appearances against the Giants after playing the previous day.
- Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Reds’ last five games against NL West opponents.
- Jeimer Candelario has recorded a Double in three of the Reds’ last four day games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one Single in six of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jeimer Candelario has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Reds’ last four day games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts
- Casey Schmitt has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances with the Giants as favorites.
- LaMonte Wade Jr has scored a run in each of his last five appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
- Wilmer Flores has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances against the Reds at Great American Ball Park.
- Mark Canha has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL Central opponents.
- Mark Canha has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL Central opponents.
- Mark Canha has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL Central opponents.
San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
Cincinnati was able to bounce back after being shutout in game one of this series with a nice win on Saturday, and they continue to play well over the last ten days. The Reds are 28-30 at home, while the Giants are just 22-34 on the road. San Francisco has had major issues on the road this season and they are trying to avoid their fourth straight series loss on the road. The Giants are starting Robbie Ray, who pitched very well in his first outing, but was roughed up last time out. The Reds are starting Spiers, who I don’t have much confidence in. The Giants road woes are definitely a concern, but I think they have a pretty big advantage with starting pitching. My San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds prediction is for the Giants to win.