Atlanta Braves (46-36) vs San Francisco Giants (41-44)
Game Info: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 7:20 pm (Truist Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -109 / San Francisco Giants -109 — Over/Under:
The San Francisco Giants and the Atlanta Braves meet Thursday in MLB action from Truist Park. Here’s a San Francisco Giants vs Atlanta Braves prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
The San Francisco Giants recent form and player performance
The Atlanta Braves recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Francisco Giants
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Atlanta Braves
Recent betting trends in games played between the Giants and Braves
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Giants vs Braves game
San Francisco Giants Betting Preview
In their weekend series the Giants took on the Los Angeles Dodgers. San Francisco lost the Saturday game 14-7 but won the other pair 5-3 and 10-4. After a 5-3 win over the Braves on Tuesday, in game two the Giants lost 3-1.
Logan Webb will start things off for the Giants on the mound Thursday. This year Webb is 6-6 with a 3.12 ERA in 18 starts. Over his 131 career games (128 starts), Webb is 48-38 with a 3.36 ERA.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
Over on the Braves’ side, they played the Pittsburgh Pirates over the weekend. Atlanta won 6-1 and 2-1 in the first pair of that set, then fell 4-2 in the finale to spoil the sweep. On Wednesday versus the Giants, Atlanta posted 10 team hits.
It’ll be Charlie Morton in the starter role for the Braves on Thursday. This year so far Morton is 5-4 with a 3.89 ERA in 15 starts. Over his MLB career Morton is 135-117 with a 3.99 ERA in 368 games (367 starts).
Giants vs Braves Pick Injury Notes
Giants SP Robbie Ray (elbow) will make another rehab start with Triple-A Sacramento on Thursday.
Braves SP AJ Smith-Shawver (oblique) began a rehab assignment Wednesday.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last seven home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Giants’ last nine games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last six night games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last five night games.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Charlie Morton has recorded seven or more strikeouts in nine of his last 11 appearances at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded a Single in each of the Braves’ last 12 games against NL opponents at Truist Park.
- Austin Riley has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a losing record.
- Austin Riley has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Braves as home favorites against NL West opponents.
- Ramon Laureano has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL opponents.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 20 appearances at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against NL West opponents at Truist Park.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 appearances at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances at Truist Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Jorge Soler has recorded at least one Double in four of the Giants’ last five games as underdogs.
- Matt Chapman has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Giants’ last five games against NL opponents.
- Jung Hoo Lee has recorded at least one hit in each of his seven previous road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Jorge Soler has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Giants’ last five games as underdogs.
- Logan Webb has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Giants as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Jung Hoo Lee has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine road appearances against NL opponents.
- Jorge Soler has scored at least one run in each of the Giants’ last five games as underdogs.
San Francisco Giants vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
I’ll take a stab on the Giants here. Webb has one bad start in his last trio (6.0 innings; four earned in a loss to the Cardinals) but otherwise has pitched pretty well lately. In the other pair Webb has 14.0 innings and four earned. As for Morton, he gave up five earned in 5.2 innings versus the Yankees but came back for a win over Pittsburgh with 6.1 clean frames.
On Wednesday the Giants had a pretty weak offensive effort with just four hits. San Francisco should be able to rally behind Webb if the bats come around in the finale, though.