San Diego (53-45) vs Washington (39-59)
July 20, 2025 at 01:35 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Washington +1.5 — Over/Under: +8
The San Diego Padres and Washington Nationals meet Sunday in MLB action at Nationals Park. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals Prediction. This article will include a San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals Pick.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 53-45 on the year and play the Marlins, Cardinals, and Mets next. The San Diego Padres are batting .246 on the season, have a .315 OBP, and a .374 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres pitching staff has a 3.63 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Manny Machado leads the San Diego Padres with 108 hits and 60 RBI, while Luis Arraez and Fernando Tatis Jr. have combined for 203 hits and 78 RBI.
Nick Pivetta gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 9-2 with a 2.88 ERA and 122 strikeouts this season. Pivetta is 2-7 with a 8.10 ERA and 53 strikeouts in his career against the Washington Nationals.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 39-59 on the year and play the Reds, Twins, and Astros next. The Washington Nationals are batting .245 on the season, have a .311 OBP, and a .389 slugging percentage. The Washington Nationals pitching staff has a 5.19 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. James Wood leads the Washington Nationals with 99 hits and 69 RBI while CJ Abrams and Nathaniel Lowe have combined for 182 hits and 98 RBI.
MacKenzie Gore gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 4-8 with a 3.02 ERA and 138 strikeouts this season. Gore is 1-2 with a 4.35 ERA and 21 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
The Padres have lost six of their last eight games as road favorites.
The Nationals have won six of their last nine games as home underdogs against NL West opponents.
The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the Padres’ last nine games.
The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites after playing the previous day.
The Nationals have led after 5 innings in three of their last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
The Nationals have lost each of their last six day games following a win.
The Padres have won each of their last six day games against NL East opponents following a loss.
The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games against National League opponents following a road loss.
The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Padres at Nationals Park following a win.
The Padres have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against the Nationals.
The Padres have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games at Nationals Park against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
Nathaniel Lowe has hit at least one home run in three of the Nationals’ last seven games against NL West opponents.
MacKenzie Gore has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against NL opponents.
Amed Rosario has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 19 appearances at Nationals Park against opponents that held a winning record.
Amed Rosario has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
Manny Machado has hit a home run in two of the Padres’ last three road games against opponents that held a losing record.
Luis Arraez has recorded two or more hits in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a road favorite against the Nationals.
Nick Pivetta has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
Nick Pivetta has recorded a win in each of his three previous appearances with the Padres as favorites against NL East opponents.
San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals Prediction
Gore has pitched well this season, which includes a 3.02 ERA and 1.20 WHIP, but he pitches for the Nationals, so it’s hard to get behind him with confidence. Pivetta has been owned by the Nationals in his career, but he’s rolling right now, which includes allowing 12 hits and one earned run in his last 18.1 innings. Pivetta has a 2.88 ERA and 1.02 WHIP on the season. The Padres are the better team, and Pivetta has allowed one earned run in his last 25.1 innings. Give me the Padres for another road win.