| MATCHUP | San Diego Padres | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 72-63 | 80-54 |
| Spread | +1.5 -194 | -1.5 159 |
| Moneyline | +112 | -135 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-113) | Under 7.5 (-107) |
| Where | Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida | |
| When | Saturday, August 29, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 72-63 on the year and play the Reds and Yankees next. The San Diego Padres are batting .237 on the season, have a .315 OBP, and have a .387 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 148 hits and 67 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Manny Machado have combined for 227 hits and 141 RBI.
Walker Buehler gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 8-6 with a 4.63 ERA and 108 strikeouts this season. Buehler is 2-0 with a 4.00 ERA and 12 strikeouts in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 80-54 on the year and play the Mets and Rangers next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .260 on the season, have a .329 OBP, and have a .403 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays’ pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 154 hits and 74 RBI, while Chandler Simpson and Junior Caminero have combined for 289 hits and 114 RBI.
Nick Martinez gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 13-4 with a 2.93 ERA and 87 strikeouts this season. Martinez is 1-4 with a 4.88 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won each of their last 12 games as favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Padres have lost four of their last five road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against NL opponents.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against the Rays following a loss.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rays have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against NL opponents.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last six games as road underdogs against AL opponents following a road loss.
- The Rays have lost each of their last four games as home favorites following a home win.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last eight road games following a loss.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Saturday games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Rays’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Padres’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Rays’ last eight day games at Tropicana Field.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Padres’ last five games.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Junior Caminero has hit a home run in three of the Rays’ last four home games against NL opponents.
- Nick Martinez has recorded four or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances.
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Rays as home favorites against NL opponents.
- Nick Martinez has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against NL West opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Merrill has hit a home run in each of the Padres’ last three games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Walker Buehler has recorded four or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances with the Padres as underdogs.
- Jackson Merrill has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last eight games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Walker Buehler has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Padres as underdogs against AL opponents.
San Diego Padres vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
Buehler has found his footing this month, allowing 23 hits and 8 runs in his last 26.1 innings. It makes the Padres worth a look at the plus money. However, Martinez has been more consistent with a 2.93 ERA and 1.10 WHIP, easily one of the best pitchers in baseball. Also, the Rays are ridiculous at home and keep getting these soft prices from oddsmakers. The Rays keep winning, and the public doesn’t seem to care because they’re not a sexy team. We care about cashing tickets on this side. Give me the Rays and the low price.