San Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction MLB Picks 8/29/24

David Racey

1 year ago

St. Louis Cardinals (66-67) vs San Diego Padres (76-59)

Game Info: Thursday, August 29, 2024 at 2:15 pm (Busch Stadium)

The Line: Betting Odds: St. Louis Cardinals -105 / San Diego Padres -115 — Over/Under: 7.5

In this article we will formulate a San Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 29th at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. To formulate this prediction for game four in the series, we will examine:

The Padres recent form and recent player performance
The Cardinals recent form and recent play performance
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving San Diego
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving St. Louis
Recent betting trends in games played between San Diego and St. Louis
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between San Diego and St. Louis

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 76-59 this season and they have won three of their last four games. San Diego won games one and two in this series by scores of 7-4 and 7-5. Prior to this series, the Padres split four games with the Mets, won two out of three against the Twins, and lost two out of three against the Rockies. San Diego is 6-4 in their last 10 games and they are battling Arizona for second in the NL West.

The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 642 runs with a .266 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Manny Machado is batting .273 with 22 home runs and 79 RBI’s for the Padres this season.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 66-67 this year and they have lost three of their last five games. St. Louis lost the first two games in this series, but they won game three by a score of 4-3. Prior to this series, the Cardinals won two out of three against the Twins, won two out of three against the Brewers, and lost two out of three against the Dodgers. St. Louis is 5-3 in their last eight games and they are third in the NL Central.

The St. Louis pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .251 opponent batting average. The Cardinals offense has scored 545 runs with a .247 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Paul Goldschmidt is batting .235 with 20 home runs and 53 RBI’s for the Cardinals this season.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Michael King, who is 11-7 with a 3.14 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 146.1 innings pitched this year. King has allowed a total of three earned runs in his last three starts. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Sonny Gray, who is 11-9 with a 4.07 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 141.2 innings pitched this season. Gray has allowed five earned runs or more in two of his last three starts.

Why the Padres will beat the Cardinals

The Padres have won eight of their last nine games against NL Central opponents.
The Cardinals have lost four of their last five day games against National League opponents following a home win.
The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven home games against National League opponents following a home win.
The Padres have covered the run line in five of their last six road games following a road loss.
The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against NL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Six of the Padres’ last seven day games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Six of the Cardinals’ last seven games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five games between the Padres and Cardinals at Busch Stadium.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last five games against NL Central opponents.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

Willson Contreras has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Cardinals as underdogs against the Padres.
Masyn Winn has recorded a Double in three of the Cardinals’ last four games against the Padres at Busch Stadium.
Masyn Winn has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cardinals’ last six games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Sonny Gray has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances at Busch Stadium against opponents that held a winning record.
Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Cardinals’ last three games against the Padres at Busch Stadium.
Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 Thursday day appearances at Busch Stadium.
Sonny Gray has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with the Cardinals as underdogs.
Masyn Winn has recorded at least one total base in each of the Cardinals’ last nine games as home underdogs.
Masyn Winn has scored at least one run in eight of the Cardinals’ last nine games against NL West opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

Luis Arraez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances against the Cardinals.
Jackson Merrill has scored at least one run in each of the Padres’ last six day games against opponents that held a losing record.
Manny Machado has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last four road games against NL opponents.
Manny Machado has recorded a Double in three of the Padres’ last four games against NL opponents.
Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.
Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Padres’ last four road games against the Cardinals.
Luis Arraez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against the Cardinals.