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San Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners Prediction MLB Picks 9/10/24

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Seattle Mariners (73-71) vs San Diego Padres (81-64)

September 10, 2024 at 09:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners -104 / San Diego Padres -114 — Over/Under: 7

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The San Diego Padres and the Seattle Mariners meet Sunday in MLB action from T-Mobile Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The San Diego Padres will send out Yu Darvish for the start here and Darvish is 4-3 with a 3.51 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Seattle, Darvish is 2-1 with a 1.91 ERA and 27 strikeouts. George Kirby will start this game for Seattle and is 11-10 with a 3.61 ERA and 162 strikeouts this season. This will be Kirby’s second career start against the Padres.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres come into this one looking to bounce back from a series loss to the San Francisco Giants thanks to a 7-6 loss to the Giants in Sunday’s series finale. The loss meant the end of San Diego’s series win streak after taking out the Tigers and Rays over the last week and a half.

Padres Trying To Secure NL Wild Card Spot

Jurickson Profar has 140 hits along with a .277 batting average and 24 doubles with 22 homers and 82 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 78 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted 14 home runs, 86 hits, 71 strikeouts and 8 stolen bases as well this season, but is out of the lineup because of injury. Manny Machado has 25 home runs and 90 RBIs but also has 105 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 94 hits with 3 triples, 16 doubles, 11 home runs, 47 RBIs and a team-high 22 stolen bases. Jackson Merrill has also chipped in 23 home runs, 83 RBIs and 23 doubles with 6 triples this season.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

  • The Padres have won nine of their last 10 night games following a loss.
  • The Mariners have lost each of their last seven games as underdogs.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last six Tuesday games.

Seattle Mariners Recap

The Seattle Mariners come into this one trying to pick up another win after taking out the Cardinals in Sunday’s series finale thanks to a 10-4 win. The series win for the Mariners helped to build on their series split with the A’s the series prior.

Mariners Trying To Make Last Ditch Playoff Push

Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners with 127 hits including a .262 batting average and also has 14 doubles. Cal Raleigh has a team-high 29 home runs along with 90 RBIs and 161 strikeouts. Mitch Haniger also has 12 home runs and 44 RBIs while Rodriguez has 21 stolen bases and 134 strikeouts as well this season. Dylan Moore has 22 doubles with 29 stolen bases and Josh Rojas has 19 doubles also this season.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

  • The Padres have lost each of their last five games as road favorites against AL West opponents following a loss.
  • The Mariners have won each of their last seven home games following a road win.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last four games against the Padres.

Padres vs. Mariners Prediction

I’m on the Padres here. I just trust San Diego’s lineup a heck of a lot more in this spot, and I think that San Diego can get it done here. It’s still a bit nerve-racking considering that you don’t really know what you’re going to see from Darvish in only his second major league start back, but the Mariners offensively continue to be so hit and miss and I just think that in the end, the Padres’ consistency shines through here and helps them get a big win. Give me San Diego.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: San Diego -114

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