Miami Marlins (43-72) vs San Diego Padres (64-52)
August 10, 2024 at 04:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Marlins +142 / San Diego Padres -155 — Over/Under:
The San Diego Padres and the Miami Marlins meet Saturday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Padres vs Marlins pick. We will examine:
The San Diego Padres recent form and player performance
The Miami Marlins recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Diego Padres
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins
Recent betting trends in games played between the Padres and Marlins
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Padres vs Marlins game
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
In their early-week series the Padres took on the Pittsburgh Pirates and did very well. San Diego swept that one with wins 6-0, 9-8 and 7-6. In the Friday opener versus the Marlins, the Padres came back from a 2-0 deficit for a 6-2 victory. Starter Martin Perez finished with 7.0 innings and two earned runs.
Matt Waldron will take the mound for the Padres on Saturday. Waldron is 7-9 with a 3.79 ERA and 116 Ks.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
Over on the Marlins’ side, they played the Cincinnati Reds in their last set. Outside of a 6-4 win in game three, Miami dropped the remaining three games 10-3, 8-2 and 10-4. On Friday the Marlins coughed up four runs in the 10th inning and could only score themselves in the fourth. Edward Cabrera managed 7.0 innings, no earned, four hits and three walks.
Roddery Munoz will take the mound for the Marlins on Saturday in the start. This year Munoz is 2-6 with a 5.68 ERA in the first 14 games (13 starts) of his career).
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last six games at LoanDepot Park against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins’ last six games at LoanDepot Park against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Marlins’ last eight games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
- Jake Burger has scored at least one run in six of his eight previous home appearances against NL West opponents.
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins’ last five games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Burger has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last four games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances after playing the previous day.
- Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Padres’ last six games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
- Luis Arraez has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL East opponents.
- David Peralta has hit a home run in each of the Padres’ last two day games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Manny Machado has recorded at least one Double in four of the Padres’ last five games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances after playing the previous day.
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 road appearances after playing the previous day.
San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Prediction
I’ll probably lean toward the Padres. At least some of that is due to Munoz’s recent struggles, though. He did have a win versus the Rays on July 31 with two earned in 5.0 innings, but in the other two of Munoz’s last three starts he’s 0-1 with 10 earned in 8.2 innings.
On Friday the Padres took a while to get going at the plate but it all worked out in the end. The pitching was great too; the bullpen came through with 3.0 innings, one hit, no walks and three strikeouts. It’d be nice to see San Diego’s bats activate a little earlier on Saturday but I think they’ll be okay.