| MATCHUP | San Diego Padres | Miami Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 50-53 | 52-51 |
| Spread | +1.5 -175 | -1.5 144 |
| Moneyline | +113 | -136 |
| Total | Over 9 (-102) | Under 9 (-118) |
| Where | loanDepot park, Miami, Florida | |
| When | Friday, July 24, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 50-53 on the year and play the Giants and Rockies next. The San Diego Padres are batting .230 on the season, have a .307 OBP, and have a .383 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 4.25 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 114 hits and 47 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Xander Bogaerts have combined for 162 hits and 82 RBI.
German Marquez gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 4-2 with a 5.24 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. Marquez is 4-3 with a 5.09 ERA and 49 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 52-51 on the year and play the Phillies and Mets next. The Miami Marlins are batting .251 on the season, have a .326 OBP, and have a .406 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins’ pitching staff has a 4.05 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Otto Lopez leads the Miami Marlins with 131 hits and 46 RBI, while Xavier Edwards and Liam Hicks have combined for 200 hits and 97 RBI.
The Miami Marlins didn’t announce a starting pitcher at the time this article was published.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won each of their last nine home games against National League opponents.
- The Padres have lost eight of their last nine night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The home team has covered the run line in each of the Marlins’ last five games.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six road games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites against National League opponents.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Marlins have lost each of their last eight games following a loss.
- The underdogs have won four of the Marlins’ last five games at LoanDepot Park.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 14 Friday games as home favorites.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Marlins’ last six games as favorites against the Padres have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Padres’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in nine of the Marlins’ last 10 home games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 12 of the Padres’ last 15 games against NL East opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 10 games at LoanDepot Park.
- Joe Mack has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Otto Lopez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.332) this season.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- German Marquez has recorded four or more strikeouts in eight of his nine previous road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- German Marquez has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
- Jackson Merrill has hit a home run in each of the Padres’ last two night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Luis Rengifo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against NL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (107).
- The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (107).
- The Padres rank 28th in the league for batting average this season (.230).
- The Padres rank 28th in the league for batting average this season (.230).
San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Prediction
The Marlins are in a free fall after a surprising start, but they’re back at home and had a day off to kind of regroup. Marquez has also been hittable with a 5.24 ERA and 1.54 WHIP, and he’s allowed 21 hits and 14 earned runs in his last 20 innings. It doesn’t matter who the Marlins are throwing out there; I want nothing to do with Marquez. The Marlins were too good for too long this season to believe this losing streak will continue forever. Give me the fish to stop the bleeding.