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San Diego Padres vs LA Dodgers Prediction MLB Picks 10/6/24

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LA Dodgers (99-64) vs San Diego Padres (95-70)

October 6, 2024 at 08:03 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: LA Dodgers -161 / San Diego Padres +135 — Over/Under: 8.5

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The San Diego Padres and the Los Angeles Dodgers meet Wednesday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The San Diego Padres will start Yu Darvish here and Darvish is 7-3 with a 3.31 ERA and 78 strikeouts this season. The Los Angeles Dodgers will send out Jack Flaherty here and Flaherty is 13-7 with a 3.17 ERA and 194 strikeouts this season.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres come into this one looking to rebound after starting the series with a 7-5 loss in game one on Saturday. The Padres will try to get back into the series as they chase their second NLCS appearance in the last three years.

Padres Just Fall Short In Opener

Jurickson Profar has 158 hits along with a .280 batting average and 29 doubles with 24 homers and 85 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 83 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted 21 home runs, 49 RBIs and 110 hits as well this season. Manny Machado has 163 hits, 29 home runs and 105 RBIs but also has 124 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 94 hits with 3 triples, 16 doubles, 11 home runs, 47 RBIs and a team-high 22 stolen bases. Jackson Merrill has also chipped in 24 home runs, 90 RBIs and 31 doubles with 6 triples this season.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

  • The Padres have won each of their last six games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a road loss.
  • The Dodgers have lost each of their last four games as favorites against the Padres following a home win.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a road loss.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites against the Padres following a home win.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers will try to hold serve at home after winning the opener on Saturday to draw first blood. The Dodgers are trying to get past the NLDS for the first time in the last three years.

Dodgers Show Out In Playoff Debut

Shohei Ohtani has 197 hits including a team-high 54 home runs, 38 doubles, 7 triples and 130 RBIs with a .310 batting average while Mookie Betts has 130 hits with 24 doubles, 5 triples, 19 homers and 75 RBIs of his own. Teoscar Hernandez also has 33 home runs with 99 RBIs and a team-high 188 strikeouts. Betts also has 16 stolen bases while Ohtani has a team-high 59 stolen bases. Freddie Freeman also has 22 home runs and 89 RBIs with 35 doubles and Will Smith has added 24 doubles, 20 home runs and 75 RBIs. Andy Pages has also chipped in 23 doubles on the year.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

  • The Dodgers have won each of their last six games.
  • The Padres have lost each of their last four road playoff games.
  • The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last four night games against National League opponents.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Sunday games against National League opponents.

Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction

I’m on the Dodgers here. There’s no denying how solid this Padres lineup is and the run they went on in the second half to make the postseason. However, the Dodgers are just rolling, they were on a roll to close out the year and picked up right where they left off in game one and Shohei Ohtani looked like a playoff natural. That’s scary when it’s his first career playoff game and his performance would make you believe he’s been there every year of his career to date. This Dodgers lineup is potent and I think they get to Darvish here. Flaherty’s been rock solid since being acquired by L.A. and I think he keeps it going here. Give me the Dodgers.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -161

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