San Diego (76-64) vs Colorado (39-101)
September 5, 2025 at 08:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Colorado +195 — Over/Under: +11
The San Diego Padres and the Colorado Rockies meet Friday in MLB action from Coors Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The San Diego Padres did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted. The Colorado Rockies are scheduled to send out Kyle Freeland here and Freeland is 3-14 with a 5.41 ERA and 97 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Padres, Freeland is 1-3 with a 5.00 ERA and 17 strikeouts.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to rebound from a 7-5 loss at the hands of the Baltimore Orioles last time out to sit at 76-64 this season. After this series, the Padres will head home for a series against the Cincinnati Reds.
Padres Drop Four In A Row & 8 Of Last 10
Manny Machado has 153 hits including a team-high 32 doubles, 22 home runs, 81 RBIs and 12 stolen bases while Fernando Tatis Jr. has 136 hits with 19 home runs and 58 RBIs along with 27 stolen bases of his own this season. Luis Arraez has added 155 hits with 29 doubles, 4 triples, 7 home runs and 52 RBIs while Jackson Merrill’s added 91 hits with 9 home runs and 51 RBIs as well. Xander Bogaerts also has 29 doubles and 20 stolen bases as well this season. Gavin Sheets also has 23 doubles, 18 home runs and 62 RBIs as well this season.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last nine Friday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Rockies have lost each of their last six night games against National League opponents.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last five road games against the Rockies following a loss.
- The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against NL West opponents.
- The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games against NL West opponents.
- The Padres have won the first inning in four of their last five games against the Rockies.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against NL West opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in three of his four previous appearances against the Rockies after not playing the previous day.
- Nick Pivetta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Nick Pivetta has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last eight road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded a Double in each of his last three road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Colorado Rockies Recap
The Colorado Rockies come into this game looking to looking to rebound from a 10-8 loss at the hands of the San Francisco Giants last time out to sit at 39-101 this season. After this series, the Rockies will head on the road for a series against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Rockies Lose 3 Straight and 8 of 10
Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with 129 hits including 24 doubles, 4 triples, 27 home runs and 83 RBIs while Michael Toglia has 58 hits with 15 doubles, 11 home runs and 32 RBIs but also has 126 strikeouts. Kyle Farmer has 14 doubles while Jordan Beck has 14 home runs, 25 doubles, 46 RBIs, 5 triples and 15 stolen bases. Brenton Doyle has 107 hits with 19 doubles, 14 home runs, 54 RBIs and 15 stolen bases. Mickey Moniak has 96 hits with 17 doubles, 8 triples and 18 home runs with 55 RBIs.
Why the Colorado Rockies will win
- The Padres have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
- The underdogs have won each of the Padres’ last three games.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Rockies following a home loss.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Padres’ last three games.
- The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
- The Padres have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as road favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last nine road games.
Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Freeland has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Brenton Doyle has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 16 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Tyler Freeman has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five home appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Kris Bryant has hit a home run in two of his three previous appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Padres.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Padres’ last 10 night games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the last five games between the Padres and Rockies at Coors Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last nine Friday games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five games between the Padres and Rockies.
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction
I’m on the Padres here. It would be nice to get confirmation who they’re sending out here, but the thing is that the Rockies may be forced to pull Kyle Freeland as well depending on what the ruling regarding his suspension is from the fracas with the San Francisco Giants. San Diego is still a solid lineup offensively despite their struggles and at the end of the day they still have the far better bullpen. Give me San Diego here.