Cleveland Guardians (59-37) vs San Diego Padres (50-50)
Game Info: Sunday, July 21, 2024 at 1:40 pm (Progressive Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians +105 / San Diego Padres -125 — Over/Under: 8.5
The San Diego Padres and Cleveland Guardians meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at Progressive Field. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction. This article will include a San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians Pick.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 51-50 on the year and play the Nationals and Orioles next. The San Diego Padres have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 11 games. The San Diego Padres have lost 6 straight games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Jurickson Profar leads the San Diego Padres with 103 hits and 59 RBI, while Jake Cronenworth and Jackson Merrill have combined for 189 hits and 104 RBI.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians are 59-38 on the year and play the Tigers and Phillies next. The Cleveland Guardians have scored 7 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 10 games. The Cleveland Guardians have lost 11 straight games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Jose Ramirez leads the Cleveland Guardians with 102 hits and 79 RBI, while Steven Kwan and Andres Gimenez have combined for 188 hits and 72 RBI.
San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Pick Matchup
Michael King gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 7-6 with a 3.41 ERA and 129 strikeouts this season. King has allowed 7 hits and 2 earned runs in his last 11.1 innings. King has a 2.74 ERA and .228 allowed batting average in 62.1 road innings. King is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 18 strikeouts in his career against the Cleveland Guardians.
Ben Lively gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 8-5 with a 3.58 ERA and 78 strikeouts this season. Lively has allowed 16 hits and 11 runs in his last 16.2 innings. Lively has a 2.55 ERA and .225 allowed batting average in 35.1 home innings. This will be Lively’s first career game against the San Diego Padres.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will Beat the Padres
- The Guardians have won each of their last eight games at Progressive Field following a home loss.
- The Padres have lost each of their last seven Sunday day games.
- The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Padres’ last four games.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Sunday games.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Will Brennan has hit at least one home run in two of his last three appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- Josh Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Guardians’ last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Guardians’ last four games as favorites against the Padres.
- Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in each of the Guardians’ last six games at Progressive Field against opponents that held a winning record.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with the Guardians as home favorites against NL opponents.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last seven games as favorites against NL West opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- David Peralta has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against the Guardians after playing the previous day.
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances against the Guardians.
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 road appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against the Guardians after playing the previous day.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has scored a run in each of his last four road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded an RBI in each of his last five appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction
The San Diego Padres are just one of those teams that lets me down time and time again right when I start to believe. The Cleveland Guardians keep getting disrespected by oddsmakers, but are comfortably the most profitable team in MLB. At home as an underdog, it’s hard to fade the Guardians, the team that’s made more money for MLB bettors than any other team. It’s not close. Give me the Guardians.