Boston Red Sox (43-37) vs San Diego Padres (44-41)
Game Info: Sunday, June 30, 2024 at 1:35 pm (Fenway Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -112 / San Diego Padres -105 — Over/Under:
The San Diego Padres and the Boston Red Sox meet Sunday in MLB action from Fenway Park. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs Boston Red Sox prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
The San Diego Padres recent form and player performance
The Boston Red Sox recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Diego Padres
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boston Red Sox
Recent betting trends in games played between the Padres and Red Sox
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Padres vs Red Sox game
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
Early this week the Padres took on the Washington Nationals. San Diego did well in that series, bagging a sweep with wins 7-6, 9-7 and 8-5. The Padres continued with another win over Boston 9-2 on Friday. In game two the Padres cruised to a blowout win 11-1. Michael King was great in the start with 6.0 innings and one earned run.
Matt Waldron will take the start for the Padres on Sunday for the finale. This year over his 16 starts Waldron is 5-6 with a 3.43 ERA. In his career Waldron is 6-9 with a 3.72 ERA over 24 games (22 starts).
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
Over on the Boston side, they played a couple of games versus the Toronto Blue Jays this week. The Sox won 7-6 in game one then lost 9-4 Tuesday. (Game three was suspended and will be made up in August.) On Saturday Boston was out-hit 16-6 and committed three errors. Tanner Houck gave up most of the damage with seven earned in 4.1 innings as starter.
Josh Winckowski is set to be the Red Sox’ starter for Sunday’s matchup. This year Winckowski is 1-1 with a 3.26 ERA over 13 games (three starts). In his 88 career games (18 starts), Winckowski is 10-12 with a 4.09 ERA.
Padres vs Red Sox Pick Injury Notes
Red Sox SS Yoeilin Cespedes (left hand soreness) is expected to make his debut for Single-A Salem within the next week.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Padres’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Red Sox’s last nine home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last six games as home favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last five road games.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances after playing the previous day.
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances after playing the previous day.
- Rafael Devers has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four games as home favorites.
- Connor Wong has recorded a Single in each of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Triston Casas has scored a run in each of his last eight Sunday day appearances.
- Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Red Sox’s last six games at Fenway Park.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Manny Machado has hit at least one home run in two of the Padres’ last three games as underdogs.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded an RBI in each of his last five appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 12 road appearances against the Red Sox.
- Luis Arraez has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight road appearances against AL opponents.
- Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
San Diego Padres vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
I’ll stay with the Padres. Waldron is on a pretty good run these days. Over his last three starts combined Waldron is 1-1 with five earned runs in 20.0 innings total. As for Winckowski, he’s got three earned over his last 8.0 innings in three appearances.
On Saturday the Padres took full advantage of their one big inning (six runs in the fifth) and didn’t look back from there. I think San Diego has another good day at the plate Sunday.