| MATCHUP | San Diego Padres | Baltimore Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 36-33 | 34-38 |
| Spread | -1.5 158 | +1.5 -192 |
| Moneyline | +100 | -120 |
| Total | Over 10.5 (-102) | Under 10.5 (-118) |
| Where | Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland | |
| When | Saturday, June 13, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:05 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
The San Diego Padres and Baltimore Orioles meet Saturday in MLB action at Oriole Park. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction. This article will include a San Diego Padres vs Baltimore Orioles Pick.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 35-33 on the year and play the Cardinals and Rangers next. The San Diego Padres are batting. 218 on the season, have a .291 OBP, and have a .359 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 72 hits and 22 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Xander Bogaerts have combined for 103 hits and 52 RBI.
Randy Vasquez gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 5-4 with a 3.63 ERA and 53 strikeouts this season. Vasquez is 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA and 3 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 34-37 on the year and play the Mariners and Dodgers next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .242 on the season and have a .324 OBP and a .403 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.53 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. Taylor Ward leads the Baltimore Orioles with 67 hits and 20 RBI, while Gunnar Henderson and Pete Alonso have combined for 132 hits and 79 RBI.
Trey Gibson gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 1-1 with a 4.24 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. This will be Gibson’s first career game against the San Diego Padres.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Padres have lost seven of their last eight day games after playing the previous day.
- The Orioles have won each of their last four games following a home win.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against teams that held a winning record.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games following a loss.
- The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as road underdogs.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won nine of their last 11 games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a road loss.
- The Orioles have lost each of their last five Saturday games as home favorites.
- The Padres have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven day games against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last five games between the Padres and Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards has gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Padres’ last five games as underdogs against the Orioles have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Padres’ last nine games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Orioles’ last eight day games.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Taylor Ward has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last six games.
- Tyler O’Neill has hit a home run in four of his last five home appearances against NL West opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Gavin Sheets has hit at least one home run in each of the Padres’ last two day games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Gavin Sheets has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
San Diego Padres vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
Vasquez has been solid this season with a 3.63 ERA and 1.30 WHIP, and Gibson has just 17 major league innings under his belt. The Padres probably should be favored with the more trustworthy arm. However, the Padres have been free-falling for over a month and are a tough sell in their current form. The Orioles have looked sharp over their few games, and they’ve seen 22 of their 34 wins come at home. This is a matter of just backing the better team at home. Give me the Orioles as a fade of the Padres more than anything.