Reds vs Pirates Prediction 6/28/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 28th at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 39-42 this season after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 6-4 and 9-7. In game two, Cincinnati blew a 6-4 lead in the seventh inning, but they got three runs in the ninth to get the win. The Reds recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Suarez, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Burns allowed nine hits and five earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Ferguson got the win and Petty picked up the save. Prior to this series, Cincinnati lost all three against the Brewers, but did win two out of three against the Yankees before that. 

This season, Cincinnati has a 4.51 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while they have scored 346 runs with a .227 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with 15 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added 12 home runs and 38 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Brady Singer, who is 3-6 with a 4.81 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP over 73.0 innings pitched this season. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 41-42 this year after they lost game two by a score of 7-9 on Saturday. Pittsburgh led 4-2 in the fourth inning and 7-6 in the ninth, but they blew the save and got the tough loss. The Pirates recorded 11 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Lowe, who went 1-4 with one home run and four RBIs. Jones allowed four hits and three earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Soto blew the save and was charged with the loss. Prior to this series, Pittsburgh won two out of three against the Mariners, but lost two out of three against the Rockies before that. 

This season, Pittsburgh has a 4.15 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while they have scored 420 runs with a .258 batting average and a .335 on base percentage. Bryan Reynolds has led the Pirates with 11 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Brandon Lowe has added 20 home runs and 56 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Mitch Keller, who is 5-5 with a 4.89 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 88.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Reds have lost 13 of their last 15 day games against NL Central opponents following a road win.
• The favorites have won eight of the last nine games between the Reds and Pirates.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The favorites have covered the run line in six of the last eight games between the Reds and Pirates.
• The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road day games.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Pirates have lost six of their last seven games as home favorites against National League opponents.
• The Reds have won each of their last three games as road underdogs.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against National League opponents.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last five road games after playing the previous day.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Pirates’ last five games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Reds’ last five road games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 14 of Brady Singer’s last 16 road appearances as a starter.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Pirates’ last four home games.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Mitch Keller has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 12 home games against NL opponents.
• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit a home run in three of his four previous home appearances against NL Central opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Eugenio Suarez has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Brady Singer has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Noelvi Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Reds as road underdogs.
• Brady Singer has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.

Reds vs Pirates Prediction 

Pittsburgh’s bullpen let them down once again in their loss on Saturday and they have allowed 15 runs in their last two games. The Pirates are 22-22 at home this year, while the Reds are 20-20 on the road. Cincinnati has bounced back from getting swept against the Brewers, but they have allowed 6+ runs in two of their last three games. The Reds are starting Singer, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts, while Keller has allowed 3+ earned runs in four of his last five. Take the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 8.5