Cincinnati (52-50) vs Washington (41-60)
July 23, 2025 at 12:05 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Washington +1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5
In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 23rd at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 52-50 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 8-10 and 1-6. In their game two loss, Cincinnati led 1-0 in the fourth inning, but failed to score over the final five innings for the loss. The Reds recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Lux, who went 4-4 with one RBI in the loss. Cincinnati started Burns, who allowed seven hits and five earned runs over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Rogers and Richardson pitched one scoreless inning each.
Prior to this series, the Reds won two out of three against the Mets and two out of three against the Rockies. Cincinnati has lost three games in a row, and they are currently fourth in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 465 runs with a .246 batting average and a .319 on-base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 18 home runs and 65 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has added 11 home runs and 41 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Nick Lodolo, who is 7-6 with a 3.33 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 113.2 innings pitched this year.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 41-60 this season after they won game two by a score of 6-1 on Tuesday night. Washington went down 1-0 in the fourth inning, but they scored the last six runs in the game for the win. The Nationals recorded seven hits in the game, and they were led by Adams, who went 1-3 with two RBIs in the win. Washington started, Lord, who allowed six hits and one earned run over 4.0 innings, while Pilkington picked up the win in relief.
Prior to this series, the Nationals lost two out of three against the Padres and all three against the Brewers. Washington has won three of their last four games, and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.21 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a .265 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 440 runs with a .246 batting average and a .312 on-base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 24 home runs and 70 RBIs, while Nathaniel Lowe has added 15 home runs and 62 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Michael Soroka, who is 3-7 with a 5.10 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 72.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Nationals will beat the Reds
The Nationals have won five of their last six games as underdogs against the Reds.
The Reds have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against National League opponents.
The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as road favorites against the Nationals following a loss.
The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Reds’ last eight games.
The Nationals have led after 5 innings in three of their last four home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Reds’ last six day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Eight of the Nationals’ last nine day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last four day games.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Nationals’ last six day games against National League opponents.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
Michael Soroka has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
Josh Bell has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against the Reds.
Amed Rosario has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in four of the Reds’ last 16 day games.
TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last six games as road favorites.
Nick Lodolo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last seven road appearances against NL East opponents.
Nick Lodolo has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
Elly De La Cruz has recorded a Double in three of the Reds’ last four games at Nationals Park against opponents that held a losing record.
Reds vs Nationals Prediction
Washington comes into this matchup looking for a rare series sweep, as they have really struggled over the last five weeks. The Nationals are 21-30 at home this year, while the Reds are 24-28 on the road. Cincinnati has lost three games in a row, and they will start Lodolo, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The Nats are going with Soroka, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four, but he doesn’t go very deep into games. This is actually a decent pitching matchup, but I think Washington has some solid momentum, and I like them with the plus money.