Boston (70-59) vs New York (69-59)
August 23, 2025 at 01:05 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: New York +1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5
In this article we will formulate a Red Sox vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 23rd at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 70-59 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 6-3 and 1-0. In their game two win, Boston was able to score the lone run in the seventh inning to escape with the victory. The Red Sox recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Wong, who went 2-4 with one RBI in the win. Boston started Bello, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Chapman picked up the save.
Prior to this series, the Red Sox lost both games against the Orioles, but did win two out of three against the Marlins before that. Boston has lost three of their last five games and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 639 runs with a .252 batting average and a .324 on base percentage this season. Wilyer Abreu has led Boston with 22 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Trevor Story has added 19 home runs and 79 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Garrett Crochet, who is 13-5 with a 2.43 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 159.1 innings pitched this year.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 69-59 this season after they lost game two by a score of 1-0 on Friday night. New York’s offense never showed up for this one in the shutout loss. The Yankees recorded just three hits in the game and they were led by Grisham, Rice, and Wells, who all had one hit in the loss. New York started Fried, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Leiter Jr. picked up the loss in relief.
Prior to this series, the Yankees won both games against the Rays and all three against the Cardinals. New York has won five of their last seven games and they are currently third in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 658 runs with a .250 batting average and a .330 on base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with 40 home runs and 92 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 24 home runs and 75 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Will Warren, who is 7-5 with a 4.25 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 127.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Yankees will beat the Red Sox
- The underdogs have won each of the Red Sox’s last five games.
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last three games as road favorites against American League opponents following a win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last seven games between the Red Sox and Yankees.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Yankees’ last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Yankees’ last nine games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games against AL East opponents.
Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction
Boston was able to get another huge win on Friday in game two of this series and they are now a half game up on the Yankees in the East. The Red Sox are 29-34 on the road this year, while the Yankees are 37-27 at home. New York was red hot prior to this series, but they need the offense to wake up. The Yankees are starting Warren, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. The Sox are going with Crochet, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five. Boston definitely has the better overall starting pitcher, but Warren has been battling in recent starts and I think the Yankees at plus money is the play.