Red Sox vs Twins Prediction 4/14/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Red Sox vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, April 14th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 6-10 this year after they lost game one by a score of 13-6 on Monday night. Boston allowed the first 11 runs in the game and never had a chance in the lopsided loss. The Red Sox recorded 10 hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Duran, who went 1-5 with one home run and two RBIs in the game. Crochet allowed nine hits and 10 earned runs over 1.2 innings for the loss, while Watson allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Boston won two out of three against the Cardinals and two out of three against the Brewers. 

This season, Boston has a 4.39 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while they have scored 68 runs with a .236 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Wilson Contreras has led the Red Sox with three home runs and 11 RBIs, while Trevor Story has added one home run and 12 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Sonny Gray, who is 2-0 with a 2.76 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP over 16.1 innings pitched this year. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 10-7 this season after they won game one in this series by a score of 13-6. Minnesota scored 11 runs in the first two innings and they added two more in the fifth in the easy victory. The Twins recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Jeffers and Caratini, who both had three RBIs. Ober allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Orze allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Minnesota won two out of three against the Blue Jays and all four against the Tigers. 

This season, Minnesota has a 4.29 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and a .258 opponent batting average, while they have scored 92 runs with a .230 batting average and a .333 on base percentage. Josh Bell has led the Twins with three home runs and 14 RBIs, while Tristan Gray has added two home runs and 11 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Mick Abel, who is 0-2 with a 6.08 ERA and a 2.10 WHIP over 13.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Twins’ last four games at Target Field.
• The Red Sox have lost each of their last six road games against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Twins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Twins have won the first inning in each of their last three night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road night games.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Twins have lost each of their last eight games as home underdogs against AL East opponents following a home win.
• The Red Sox have won each of their last three games against AL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL Central opponents following a road loss.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 night games against AL East opponents following a home win.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last eight night games at Target Field against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight night games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Twins’ last four games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Red Sox’s last 12 games as road favorites against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last four games as underdogs.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances against the Red Sox at Target Field.
• Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous home appearances against the Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Jarren Duran has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last three road games against the Twins.
• Sonny Gray has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Willson Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Sonny Gray has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite against AL Central opponents.

Red Sox vs Twins Prediction 

Minnesota comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have been red hot over the last three series. The Twins are 6-2 at home this year, while the Red Sox are 3-7 on the road. Boston has won two of their last three games and they have scored 6+ runs in three straight. The Red Sox have a big pitching advantage in this game, as I don’t love Abel, so I will take Boston to win here.

David Racey's Pick: Red Sox ML