Red Sox vs Rays Prediction 6/9/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Red Sox vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 9th at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 27-37 this season after they lost game one by a score of 1-3 on Monday night. Boston tied the game at one in the third inning, but they failed to score over the last six innings for the loss. The Red Sox recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Mayer, who went 1-2 with one home run and one RBI. Early allowed five hits and two earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Coulombe allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Boston split two games with the Yankees and lost two out of three against the Orioles. 

This season, Boston has a 3.87 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while they have scored 250 runs with a .245 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Willson Contreras has led the Red Sox with 13 home runs and 39 RBIs, while Jarren Duran has added 10 home runs and 33 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Payton Tolle, who is 3-2 with a 2.28 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 47.1 innings pitched this season. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 38-25 this year after they won game one by a score of 3-1 last night. Tampa Bay took a 2-1 lead in the fifth inning and they added one in the eighth to seal the win. The Rays recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Diaz, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Seymour allowed one hit and one earned run over 4.0 innings, while Legumina picked up the win and Baker got the save. Prior to this series, Tampa Bay lost two out of three against the Marlins and all three against the Tigers. 

This season, Tampa Bay has a 3.90 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while they have scored 286 runs with a .255 batting average and a .334 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda has led the Rays with 11 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Yandy Diaz has added 12 home runs and 44 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Nick Martinez, who is 5-2 with a 2.29 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 70.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last 10 games at Tropicana Field against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Red Sox have lost 12 of their last 13 games against the Rays at Tropicana Field following a loss.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last six games against AL East opponents following a home win.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against the Red Sox at Tropicana Field.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The underdogs have won each of the last seven games between the Red Sox and Rays at Tropicana Field.
• The Rays have lost each of their last four games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last seven games between the Red Sox and Rays at Tropicana Field.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Tuesday games as favorites against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Rays’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Red Sox’s last five games as underdogs against the Rays have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last nine night games at Tropicana Field.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 13 of the Red Sox’s last 14 games against American League opponents.

Red Sox vs Rays Prediction 

Boston only managed one run in game one of this series on Monday and they have scored two runs or fewer in three of their last four games. The Red Sox are 17-16 on the road this year, while the Rays are 22-9 at home. Tampa Bay has also lost three of their last five games and they have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last five. The Rays are starting Martinez, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Tolle has also allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. This is a great pitching matchup, but I don’t trust the Boston offense at all. Take the Rays again here.

David Racey's Pick: Rays ML