Rays vs Orioles Prediction 5/27/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Rays vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 27th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 34-18 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 7-9 and 1-6. In game two, Tampa Bay led 1-0 in the first inning, but they failed to score over the last eight innings for the loss. The Rays recorded nine hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Aranda, who went 3-4 with one RBI. Jax allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 2.0 innings for the loss, while Martin threw three innings in relief. Prior to this series, Tampa Bay split two games with the Yankees and swept the Orioles in three games. 

This season, Tampa Bay has a 3.44 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .228 opponent batting average, while they have scored 244 runs with a .260 batting average and a .333 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda has led the Rays with nine home runs and 41 RBIs, while Yandy Diaz has added eight home runs and 33 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Steven Matz, who is 4-1 with a 3.70 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 41.1 innings pitched this year. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 25-30 this season after they won game two by a score of 6-1 on Tuesday night. Baltimore scored three runs in the second inning to take the lead and they added three more in the fifth to secure the win. The Orioles recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Basallo, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Baz allowed seven hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the win, while Kittredge closed out the game. Prior to this series, Baltimore won two out of three against the Tigers, but lost all three against the Rays before that. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.73 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .260 opponent batting average, while they have scored 243 runs with a .233 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 10 home runs and 33 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 11 home runs and 26 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Trey Gibson, who is 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP over 6.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The underdogs have won nine of the Rays’ last 10 games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• The Rays have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Orioles following a road loss.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last six games as home underdogs against the Rays.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as road favorites against AL East opponents.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Orioles have lost 20 of their last 24 night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have won 13 of their last 16 night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against the Rays following a home win.
• The Rays have covered the run line in seven of their last eight Wednesday night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• The Rays have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Orioles’ last seven night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Rays’ last six games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last six night games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last six Wednesday games.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Chris Bassitt has recorded five or more strikeouts in 17 of his last 18 home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Orioles as underdogs.
• Leody Taveras has recorded at least one hit in nine of his last 10 appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.
• Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL East opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in four of his last 12 appearances with the Rays as favorites.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Steven Matz has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games.

Rays vs Orioles Prediction

Tampa Bay comes into this matchup on a three game losing streak and they have allowed 15 runs in the first two games of this series. The Rays are 15-13 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 16-13 at home. Baltimore is starting to heat up and they have scored 5+ runs in four of their last five games. The O’s are starting Gibson, who has allowed four earned runs over 6.2 innings, while Matz has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight outings. The Rays are on a small losing streak, but Matz has been very solid. Take Tampa Bay to win here.

David Racey's Pick: Rays ML