Rays vs Orioles Prediction 5/25/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Rays vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Monday, May 25th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 34-16 this year after they split a two game series with the Yankees by scores of 4-2 and 0-2. In game two, Tampa Bay pitched a great game, but they couldn’t find any offense in the shutout loss. The Rays recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Diaz, who went 2-4. Rasmussen allowed five hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Kelly picked up the loss in relief. Prior to that series, Tampa Bay swept the Orioles in three games and won two out of three against the Marlins. 

This season, Tampa Bay has a 3.51 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .227 opponent batting average, while they have scored 236 runs with a .260 batting average and a .335 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda has led the Rays with eight home runs and 38 RBIs, while Yandy Diaz has added eight home runs and 33 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Shane McClanahan, who is 5-2 with a 2.82 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 44.2 innings pitched this year. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 23-30 this season after they won two out of three against the Tigers by scores of 7-4, 5-3, and 1-4. In game three, Baltimore cut the deficit to 2-1 in the fourth inning, but couldn’t score any more runs in the loss. The Orioles recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Basallo, who went 1-2 with one RBI. Rogers allowed four hits and four earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Suarez threw four innings in relief. Prior to that series, Baltimore lost all three against the Rays and two out of three against the Nationals. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.85 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP and a .260 opponent batting average, while they have scored 228 runs with a .232 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 10 home runs and 32 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 11 home runs and 25 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Kyle Bradish, who is 2-6 with a 4.13 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP over 52.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The underdogs have won seven of the last eight games between the Rays and Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• The Rays have lost each of their last four games as favorites against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the last eight games between the Rays and Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against American League opponents following a loss.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Orioles have lost 21 of their last 24 games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have won seven of their last eight day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last eight Monday games against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Rays have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Monday games.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Rays’ last 10 day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Sixteen of the Orioles’ last 19 games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of Kyle Bradish’s last 10 appearances as a starter.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Rays’ last eight day games against American League opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Orioles as underdogs.
• Kyle Bradish has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Orioles as home underdogs against AL opponents.
• Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine Monday appearances against teams that held a winning record.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances after playing the previous day.
• Shane McClanahan has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his 11 previous appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Shane McClanahan has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against the Orioles after playing the previous day.

Rays vs Orioles Prediction 

Tampa Bay had their winning streak snapped on Sunday afternoon, but they continue to be one of the top teams in the MLB. The Rays are 15-11 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 14-13 at home. Baltimore did take two out of three against the Tigers, but they have lost four of their last six games. The O’s are starting Bradish, who has allowed two earned runs in his last 11.1 innings, while McClanahan has allowed zero earned runs in four of his last five starts. The Rays are rolling and I like them to win again here.

David Racey's Pick: Rays ML