Texas (79-70) vs New York (76-73)
September 14, 2025 at 01:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: New York -175 — Over/Under: +8.5
In this article we will formulate a Rangers vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 14th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Texas Rangers Betting Preview
The Texas Rangers are 79-70 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 8-3 and 3-2. In their game two win, Texas trailed 2-0 in the seventh, but scored three runs in the last two innings to steal the victory. The Rangers recorded 11 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Langford, Pederson, and Tellez, who all had one RBI in the win. Texas started Corbin, who allowed six hits and zero earned runs over 4.1 innings, while Maton got the win and Armstrong picked up the save.
Prior to this series, the Rangers won all three against the Brewers and two out of three against the Astros. Texas has won six games in a row and they are currently third in the AL West standings. The Texas pitching staff has a 3.41 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .228 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 641 runs with a .237 batting average and a .306 on base percentage this season. Adolis Garcia has led Texas with 18 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Corey Seager has added 21 home runs and 50 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Jacob Latz, who is 2-0 with a 2.91 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 74.1 innings pitched this year.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 76-73 this season after they lost game two by a score of 3-2 on Saturday afternoon. New York scored once in the fifth and once in the seventh, but their bullpen fell apart for the loss. The Mets recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Soto, who went 2-5 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. New York started Sproat, who allowed six hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Diaz blew the save and was charged with the loss.
Prior to this series, the Mets lost all four against the Phillies and two out of three against the Reds. New York has lost eight games in a row and they are second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 4.03 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 699 runs with a .249 batting average and a .327 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 33 home runs and 114 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 40 home runs and 97 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Nolan McLean, who is 4-1 with a 1.42 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP over 31.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Mets will beat the Rangers
The Mets have won three of their last four day games against AL West opponents.
The Mets have covered the run line in three of their last four home games against the Rangers following a home loss.
The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a road win.
The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
Six of the Rangers’ last seven road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Four of the Mets’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Mets’ last 11 day games against AL West opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Rangers’ last six games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
Starling Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his 19 previous appearances with his team as a favorite against the Rangers.
Francisco Lindor has recorded a Double in three of the Mets’ last four games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
Starling Marte has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against the Rangers after playing the previous day.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Corey Seager has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Rangers as road underdogs.
Corey Seager has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Rangers vs Mets Prediction
New York comes into this matchup as a decent sized favorite, but they have been awful over the last week. The Mets are 45-29 at home this year, while the Rangers are 32-42 on the road. Texas is trending in the opposite direction, as they are red hot right now and are pushing for a wild card spot. The Rangers are starting Latz, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight outings. New York is going with McLean, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. I don’t trust New York at all, but McLean has been elite. Take the Mets -1.5 here.