Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 07/30/2025 Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Pirates vs Giants prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 30, at Oracle Park in San Francisco, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates (46-62, 15-37 Away) were swept by the Chicago White Sox, swept the Detroit Tigers, and then defeated the Arizona Diamondbacks in three series prior to this one in San Francisco, which will also be a winning one following back-to-back victories. Following a 6-5 win in Game 1, the Pirates secured a 3-1 victory on Tuesday. Liover Peguero hit his first homer of the year and recorded the first two RBI to lead the team, while Bailey Falter pitched for 5.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing one run on two hits with one strikeout and four walks. Braxton Ashcraft was credited with the win.

This year, the Pirates average 3.40 runs per game (30th in the MLB) on a .230/.300/.341 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Pirates’ staff has a 3.73 ERA (8th) and 1.20 WHIP (3rd). Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with a .232 batting average, ten home runs, and 51 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Pirates is Mike Burrows, who is 1-3 in 11 starts this season, with a 4.15 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 52.0 innings.

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

The San Francisco Giants (54-54, 28-25 Home) were swept by the Toronto Blue Jays, beat the Atlanta Braves, and then were swept by the New York Mets. San Francisco is now in jeopardy of being swept again after losing the opening two games against the Pirates. The Giants fell short 6-5 in Game 1 and then lost 3-1 last night. Willy Adames hit a solo homer, which turned out to be the lone run for the hosts, while Justin Verlander pitched for 5.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing one run on six hits with seven strikeouts and one walk. Tyler Rogers took the loss.

This season, the Giants average 4.12 runs per game (23rd in the MLB) on a .233/.312/.376 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Giants’ staff has a 3.66 ERA (6th) and 1.27 WHIP (16th). Wilmer Flores leads the Giants with a .245 batting average, 12 home runs, and 59 RBI this season.

Logan Webb will take the mound for the Giants on Wednesday. The 28-year-old right-hander has a 9-8 record in 22 starts this year with a 3.38 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 135.2 innings.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Pirates’ last four day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the last five games between the Pirates and Giants at Oracle Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last four day games at Oracle Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Pirates’ last seven road games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Giants rank 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.375).
• The Giants rank T27th in the league for hits this season (826).
• The Pirates rank 30th in the league for RBIs this season (355).
• The Pirates rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.342).

Pirates vs Giants Prediction

The Giants won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, but the Pirates were better in three of the last five. I am not sure who’s going to win this game, so I am backing the Over because I am not impressed with Mike Burrows and Logan Webb’s recent performances. Burrows is actually playing better in July; he did record a couple of shutouts and allowed eight runs in the other two starts. Webb, on the other hand, had a fantastic season until July, when he posted a bloated 7.36 ERA, mostly because of the previous two starts, when he surrendered ten runs. With the total being set at 7.5 runs, I am going with Over.