| MATCHUP | Pittsburgh Pirates | San Diego Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 65-69 | 71-62 |
| Spread | +1.5 -186 | -1.5 153 |
| Moneyline | +113 | -136 |
| Total | Over 8 (-118) | Under 8 (-102) |
| Where | Petco Park, San Diego, California | |
| When | Wednesday, August 26, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 65-69 this year and play the Giants and Cardinals next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .253 on the season, with a .330 OBP and a .406 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates’ pitching staff has a 4.23 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Nick Gonzales leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 145 hits and 56 RBI, while Bryan Reynolds and Brandon Lowe have combined for 253 hits and 146 RBI.
Bubba Chandler gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 6-8 with a 4.38 ERA and 114 strikeouts this season. This will be Chandler’s second career game against the San Diego Padres.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 71-62 on the year and play the Reds and Rays next. The San Diego Padres are batting .237 on the season, have a .315 OBP, and have a .388 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 146 hits and 67 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Manny Machado have combined for 222 hits and 138 RBI.
Randy Vasquez gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 9-6 with a 4.19 ERA and 74 strikeouts this season. Vasquez is 0-0 with a 4.70 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Pirates have lost 11 of their last 12 days’ games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have won eight of their last nine games following a loss.
- The Padres have covered the run line in 10 of their last 12 games following a loss.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six road games following a road win.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The underdogs have won three of the Pirates’ last four games at Petco Park.
- The Padres have lost four of their last six games as favorites against NL opponents.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games following a home loss.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in five of their last six road games.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Padres’ last nine games against NL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Pirates’ last four games has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Padres’ last six home games against NL opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Pirates’ last four day games.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Merrill has hit a home run in four of the Padres’ last seven games as home favorites.
- Randy Vasquez has recorded a win in each of his last three home appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 Wednesday appearances with the Padres as favorites.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Bubba Chandler has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
- Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in three of his last six appearances with the Pirates as underdogs against NL West opponents.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres Prediction
Chandler has been good this month and gives the Pirates a fighting chance most nights, but this is simply a matter of the Padres needing to win games to clinch a playoff spot. They can’t afford to lose games to low-level teams at home. Vasquez has also been solid in August, allowing 13 hits and 8 runs in 23 innings. The price is low, and the Padres are due for an offensive breakthrough after how last night played out. No excuses here. The Padres need to get their act together. I’ll lay this price with the Padres at home.