| MATCHUP | Pittsburgh Pirates | San Diego Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 64-69 | 71-61 |
| Spread | -1.5 171 | +1.5 -210 |
| Moneyline | +103 | -124 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (100) | Under 7.5 (-120) |
| Where | Petco Park, San Diego, California | |
| When | Tuesday, August 25, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN Unlmtd | |
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 64-69 this year and play the Giants and Cardinals next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .254 on the season, with a .331 OBP and a .407 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates’ pitching staff has a 4.29 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Nick Gonzales leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 142 hits and 55 RBI, while Bryan Reynolds and Brandon Lowe have combined for 250 hits and 146 RBI.
Paul Skenes gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 9-11 with a 3.95 ERA and 171 strikeouts this season. This will be Skenes’ second career game against the San Diego Padres.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 71-61 on the year and play the Reds and Rays next. The San Diego Padres are batting .239 on the season, have a .316 OBP, and have a .391 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 146 hits and 67 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Manny Machado have combined for 222 hits and 138 RBI.
Michael King gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 8-9 with a 3.38 ERA and 128 strikeouts this season. King is 2-0 with a 2.65 ERA and 21 strikeouts in his career against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Pirates have lost each of their last eight road games following an extra-inning win.
- The Padres have won each of their last eight night games following a loss.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games following a loss.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as road underdogs following a road win.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in three of their last four home games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Padres have lost four of their last five games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The road team has won three of the last four games between the Pirates and Padres.
- The road team has covered the run line in eight of the last 10 games between the Pirates and Padres.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as home favorites against NL opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Padres’ last five games against NL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Pirates’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in nine of the Padres’ last 10 home games against NL Central opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in four of the Pirates’ last five games.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Merrill has hit a home run in two of the Padres’ last three games.
- Michael King has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Ty France has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last eight games as favorites against NL opponents.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks T6th in the league in Steals (30) this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in five of his last 14 appearances.
- Paul Skenes has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 11 of his last 12 appearances against NL West opponents.
- Nick Gonzales has recorded two hits in each of the Pirates’ last five night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Nick Gonzales is one of only seven players to hit over .300 and have 45+ RBIs this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Padres rank 25th in the league for hits this season (1037).
- The Padres rank 25th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.390).
- The Pirates rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (656).
- The Pirates rank 3rd in the league for RBIs this season (626).
Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres Prediction
Skenes as an underdog is usually attractive, but he has allowed 48 hits and 29 earned runs in his last 46 innings. Skenes hasn’t been as dominant as he’s usually been. Skenes has a 4.40 ERA on the road through 61.1 innings. King has been more consistent as of late, and he has a solid 3.21 ERA and a .213 allowed batting average in 75.2 innings at home. The Padres are also closing in on a wild card spot while the Pirates’ season has been over for a while. I’ll take the low price on the Padres at home.